Shakhter Karagandy 1-0 FC Astana — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Kazakistan - Super League, 7 Apr 2024

📅07/04/2024 · 🕒14:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
5.91
Draw
29%
4.08
Away
44%
1.42
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
66%
1.67
Over 2.5
34%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
38%
2.4
No
62%
1.5
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
13%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
1/2
7%
1/X
10%
X/1
12%
X/2
10%
X/X
14%
2/1
6%
2/2
28%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
27%
Home Win
14%
+13.0pp
29%
Draw
21%
+8.0pp
45%
Away Win
66%
-21.0pp
66%
Under 2.5
56%
+10.0pp
34%
Over 2.5
44%
-10.0pp
38%
BTTS Yes
38%
+0.8pp
62%
BTTS No
62%
-0.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Shakhter Karagandy EU Bookmakers 17%
Head to Head
AWAY FC Astana EU Bookmakers 70%
+2% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +4%
1.06/1.89 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.69/0.53
+21% / -26% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +9% / +60%
45% Ball Possession 55%
9 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 5
230 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 358 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.3 Yellow Cards 3.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Shakhter Karagandy
1W-1D-4L
AWAY FC Astana
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
40% Ball Possession 60%
8 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
29.10.2023 Shakhter Karagandy Shakhter Karagandy 1-1 HT 0-1 FC Astana FC Astana KAZP
04.03.2023 FC Astana FC Astana 2-1 HT 2-1 Shakhter Karagandy Shakhter Karagandy KAZP
06.11.2022 Shakhter Karagandy Shakhter Karagandy 2-3 HT 1-2 FC Astana FC Astana KAZP
15.07.2022 FC Astana FC Astana 5-2 HT 3-1 Shakhter Karagandy Shakhter Karagandy KAZKK
05.03.2022 FC Astana FC Astana 0-3 HT 0-0 Shakhter Karagandy Shakhter Karagandy KAZP
02.07.2021 FC Astana FC Astana 4-3 HT 2-1 Shakhter Karagandy Shakhter Karagandy KAZP
POST-MATCH Shakhter Karagandy vs FC Astana
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Shakhter Karagandy nicked a narrow win over FC Astana 1-0.

Our pre-match lean was FC Astana at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (66%), no to both teams scoring (62%) came in.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, FC Astana led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Shakhter Karagandy and 2.50 for FC Astana.

What was the final score of Shakhter Karagandy vs FC Astana?

Shakhter Karagandy 1-0 FC Astana in the Kazakistan - Super League on 07/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Shakhter Karagandy vs FC Astana?

Before kick-off our model rated an FC Astana win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Shakhter Karagandy 27%, draw 29%, FC Astana 45%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (FC Astana) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (FC Astana) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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