JDFS Alberts 3-0 Smiltene — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Latvia - 1st Division, 7 Apr 2024

JDFS Alberts
3-0 HT 2-0
Smiltene
📅07/04/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 3-0 ✓
Latvia - 1st Division – 2024

JDFS Alberts vs Smiltene Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
63%
1.3
Draw
24%
5.15
Away
13%
7.18
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.74
Over 2.5
57%
1.41
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.61
No
48%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
51%
1/2
3%
1/X
5%
X/1
9%
X/2
3%
X/X
11%
2/1
4%
2/2
6%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
63%
Home Win
72%
-9.2pp
24%
Draw
16%
+7.8pp
12%
Away Win
11%
+1.4pp
43%
Under 2.5
33%
+10.5pp
57%
Over 2.5
67%
-10.5pp
52%
BTTS Yes
58%
-6.0pp
48%
BTTS No
42%
+6.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

JDFS Alberts v Smiltene — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME JDFS Alberts EU Bookmakers 77%
Head to Head
AWAY Smiltene EU Bookmakers 14%
-26% / -26% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +5%
2.32/2.01 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.19/2.59
-7% / -47% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +7% / -6%
59% Ball Possession 41%
17 Total Shots 9
8 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 4
419 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 223 · 71%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –

JDFS Alberts vs Smiltene Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME JDFS Alberts
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Smiltene
4.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
The Meetings
05.08.2023 Smiltene Smiltene 1-4 HT 1-2 JDFS Alberts JDFS Alberts LET1
POST-MATCH JDFS Alberts vs Smiltene
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

JDFS Alberts ran out comfortable winners over Smiltene 3-0. Half-time: 2-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had JDFS Alberts as the likeliest winner at 63%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (57%), and that read landed as well.

What was the final score of JDFS Alberts vs Smiltene?

JDFS Alberts 3-0 Smiltene in the Latvia - 1st Division on 07/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for JDFS Alberts vs Smiltene?

Before kick-off our model rated a JDFS Alberts win the most likely single outcome at about 63%, with the full match-result split JDFS Alberts 63%, draw 24%, Smiltene 12%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (JDFS Alberts), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (JDFS Alberts) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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