BFC Daugavpils 1-1 Rigas Skola — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Latvia - Virsliga, 7 Apr 2024

📅07/04/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-3 2nd Score 0-4
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
19%
16.01
Draw
22%
7.13
Away
59%
1.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
2.18
Over 2.5
59%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
3.08
No
54%
1.32
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
8%
1/X
5%
X/1
4%
X/2
17%
X/X
8%
2/1
5%
2/2
34%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
19%
Home Win
4%
+14.9pp
22%
Draw
11%
+11.4pp
59%
Away Win
85%
-26.2pp
41%
Under 2.5
42%
-1.1pp
59%
Over 2.5
58%
+1.1pp
46%
BTTS Yes
28%
+17.2pp
54%
BTTS No
72%
-17.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME BFC Daugavpils EU Bookmakers 6%
Head to Head
AWAY Rigas Skola EU Bookmakers 90%
+7% / +11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -3%
0.60/2.30 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.36/0.69
-18% / +27% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +29% / -25%
40% Ball Possession 60%
8 Total Shots 17
3 Shots on Target 8
3 Corners 6
237 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 376 · 81%
12.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 43.5
12.6 Crosses 28.0
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME BFC Daugavpils
0W-0D-6L
AWAY Rigas Skola
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 3.17
0.57 xG 2.93
33% Ball Possession 67%
6 Total Shots 22
3 Shots on Target 9
3 Corners 6
200 Passes 528
66% Pass Accuracy 86%
11 Box Touches 53
8 Crosses 24
2 Yellow Cards 2
29.10.2023 Rigas Skola Rigas Skola 3-1 HT 1-1 BFC Daugavpils BFC Daugavpils LET
08.08.2023 BFC Daugavpils BFC Daugavpils 0-1 HT 0-0 Rigas Skola Rigas Skola LET
30.05.2023 Rigas Skola Rigas Skola 3-1 HT 1-1 BFC Daugavpils BFC Daugavpils LET
19.04.2023 BFC Daugavpils BFC Daugavpils 0-5 HT 0-2 Rigas Skola Rigas Skola LET
27.09.2022 BFC Daugavpils BFC Daugavpils 1-3 HT 1-1 Rigas Skola Rigas Skola LET
30.06.2022 Rigas Skola Rigas Skola 4-0 HT 1-0 BFC Daugavpils BFC Daugavpils LET
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME BFC Daugavpils
1-1
AWAY Rigas Skola
1.06 xG 2.21
31% Ball Possession 69%
11 Total Shots 15
2 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 9
153 Passes 439
65% Pass Accuracy 85%
17 Box Touches 48
14 Crosses 28
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH BFC Daugavpils vs Rigas Skola
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

BFC Daugavpils and Rigas Skola shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

This one beat our numbers. Rigas Skola carried 59% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (59%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, BFC Daugavpils had 31% of the ball to Rigas Skola's 69%, shots finished 11-15, expected goals 1.06 to 2.21.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Rigas Skola led the recent series with 6 wins. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for BFC Daugavpils and 3.17 for Rigas Skola.

What was the final score of BFC Daugavpils vs Rigas Skola?

BFC Daugavpils 1-1 Rigas Skola in the Latvia - Virsliga on 07/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for BFC Daugavpils vs Rigas Skola?

Before kick-off our model rated an Rigas Skola win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split BFC Daugavpils 19%, draw 22%, Rigas Skola 59%. The final score 1-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Rigas Skola) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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