FC Sheriff 4-1 Zimbru — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Moldova - National League, 7 Apr 2024

📅07/04/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
61%
1.42
Draw
20%
4.19
Away
19%
7.18
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.78
Over 2.5
47%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.29
No
55%
1.55
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
36%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
18%
X/2
6%
X/X
10%
2/1
7%
2/2
9%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
61%
Home Win
67%
-6.4pp
20%
Draw
21%
-0.9pp
19%
Away Win
12%
+7.2pp
53%
Under 2.5
52%
+0.8pp
47%
Over 2.5
48%
-0.8pp
45%
BTTS Yes
40%
+4.9pp
55%
BTTS No
60%
-4.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FC Sheriff EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Zimbru EU Bookmakers 14%
-28% / -28% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +10%
0.56/0.49 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.70/2.08
-74% / +75% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +4% / +9%
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
249 · 66% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 240 · 65%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FC Sheriff
3W-3D-0L
AWAY Zimbru
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.17
62% Ball Possession 38%
18 Total Shots 6
6 Shots on Target 1
6 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 1
25.11.2023 FC Sheriff FC Sheriff 2-0 HT 2-0 Zimbru Zimbru MOLD
24.09.2023 Zimbru Zimbru 0-1 HT 0-1 FC Sheriff FC Sheriff MOLD
06.05.2023 FC Sheriff FC Sheriff 0-0 HT 0-0 Zimbru Zimbru MOLD
01.04.2023 Zimbru Zimbru 0-2 HT 0-1 FC Sheriff FC Sheriff MOLD
18.09.2022 FC Sheriff FC Sheriff 0-0 HT 0-0 Zimbru Zimbru MOLD
30.07.2022 Zimbru Zimbru 1-1 HT 0-0 FC Sheriff FC Sheriff MOLD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FC Sheriff
4-1
AWAY Zimbru
56% Ball Possession 44%
10 Total Shots 5
8 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH FC Sheriff vs Zimbru
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FC Sheriff cruised past Zimbru 4-1. Half-time: 3-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had FC Sheriff as the likeliest winner at 61%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, FC Sheriff had 56% of the ball to Zimbru's 44%, shots finished 10-5.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, FC Sheriff had the better of it with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for FC Sheriff and 0.17 for Zimbru.

What was the final score of FC Sheriff vs Zimbru?

FC Sheriff 4-1 Zimbru in the Moldova - National League on 07/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FC Sheriff vs Zimbru?

Before kick-off our model rated a FC Sheriff win the most likely single outcome at about 61%, with the full match-result split FC Sheriff 61%, draw 20%, Zimbru 19%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (FC Sheriff) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (FC Sheriff) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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MOLD More Moldova - National League
7 Apr 2024
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