Flekkeroy 2-1 Lysekloster — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - 2nd Division, 7 Apr 2024

📅07/04/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.47
Draw
26%
3.28
Away
33%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
2.0
Over 2.5
48%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.43
No
50%
2.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
3.79
2-3 Goals
37%
1.83
4-5 Goals
23%
3.22
6+ Goals
12%
11.1
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.79 — our 28% vs market 21.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
12%
X/2
15%
X/X
8%
2/1
10%
2/2
12%
2/X
12%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
37%
+4.1pp
26%
Draw
27%
-0.7pp
33%
Away Win
37%
-3.5pp
52%
Under 2.5
46%
+5.6pp
48%
Over 2.5
54%
-5.6pp
50%
BTTS Yes
66%
-15.5pp
50%
BTTS No
34%
+15.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Flekkeroy EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Lysekloster EU Bookmakers 40%
-1% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-48% / +39% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
307 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 324 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.1 Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Flekkeroy vs Lysekloster
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Flekkeroy edged past Lysekloster 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Flekkeroy as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

What was the final score of Flekkeroy vs Lysekloster?

Flekkeroy 2-1 Lysekloster in the Norway - 2nd Division on 07/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Flekkeroy vs Lysekloster?

Before kick-off our model rated a Flekkeroy win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Flekkeroy 41%, draw 26%, Lysekloster 33%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Flekkeroy) — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Flekkeroy) ✗ Under 2.5
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