Ergene Velimeşe 1-1 Sapanca Gençlikspor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - 3rd Division 2.Grup, 7 Apr 2024

📅07/04/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
1.86
Draw
22%
3.94
Away
37%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
Over 2.5
57%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
No
47%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
31%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
19%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
11%
X/2
14%
X/X
8%
2/1
8%
2/2
19%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
50%
-8.8pp
22%
Draw
22%
+0.2pp
37%
Away Win
28%
+8.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ergene Velimeşe EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY Sapanca Gençlikspor EU Bookmakers 32%
-38% / -38% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -43% / -43%
1.22/1.83 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.22/2.67
-20% / -51% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -78% / -53%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 6
362 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 310 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.7 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ergene Velimeşe
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Sapanca Gençlikspor
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
61% Ball Possession 39%
6 Total Shots 9
1 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 4
5 Yellow Cards 6
26.11.2023 Sapanca Gençlikspor Sapanca Gençlikspor 2-0 HT 2-0 Ergene Velimeşe Ergene Velimeşe S3-2
POST-MATCH Ergene Velimeşe vs Sapanca Gençlikspor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ergene Velimeşe and Sapanca Gençlikspor couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match split (41% / 22% / 37%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of Ergene Velimeşe vs Sapanca Gençlikspor?

Ergene Velimeşe 1-1 Sapanca Gençlikspor in the Turkey - 3rd Division 2.Grup on 07/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ergene Velimeşe vs Sapanca Gençlikspor?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ergene Velimeşe win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Ergene Velimeşe 41%, draw 22%, Sapanca Gençlikspor 37%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Ergene Velimeşe), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Ergene Velimeşe) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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