Dunajska Streda 3-1 Podbrezova — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Slovakia Super League, 7 Apr 2024

Dunajska Streda
3-1 HT 3-1
Podbrezova
📅07/04/2024 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Slovakia Super League – 2023/2024

Dunajska Streda vs Podbrezova Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.82
Draw
27%
3.45
Away
25%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.95
Over 2.5
45%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.73
No
50%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
26%
3.56
2-3 Goals
42%
1.8
4-5 Goals
21%
3.37
6+ Goals
11%
12.4
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.56 — our 26% vs market 22.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
10%
1/X
5%
X/1
18%
X/2
9%
X/X
14%
2/1
7%
2/2
7%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ Under 2.5 ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
51%
-3.2pp
27%
Draw
26%
+1.2pp
26%
Away Win
24%
+1.9pp
55%
Under 2.5
48%
+6.9pp
45%
Over 2.5
52%
-6.9pp
50%
BTTS Yes
54%
-3.7pp
50%
BTTS No
46%
+3.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Dunajska Streda v Podbrezova — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dunajska Streda EU Bookmakers 55%
Head to Head
AWAY Podbrezova EU Bookmakers 27%
+6% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +5%
1.49/1.14 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.41/1.66
+14% / +11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +38% / -14%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
310 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 306 · 76%
23.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 26.6
17.3 Crosses 14.3
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.9

Dunajska Streda vs Podbrezova Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Dunajska Streda
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Podbrezova
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.30 xG 1.13
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 7
317 Passes 330
78% Pass Accuracy 79%
23 Box Touches 22
18 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
25.02.2024 Podbrezova Podbrezova 0-0 HT 0-0 Dunajska Streda Dunajska Streda SLVK
08.10.2023 Dunajska Streda Dunajska Streda 3-2 HT 1-0 Podbrezova Podbrezova SLVK
30.04.2023 Podbrezova Podbrezova 2-0 HT 1-0 Dunajska Streda Dunajska Streda SLVK
14.04.2023 Dunajska Streda Dunajska Streda 2-1 HT 0-1 Podbrezova Podbrezova SLVK
23.10.2022 Dunajska Streda Dunajska Streda 2-1 HT 0-0 Podbrezova Podbrezova SLVK
07.08.2022 Podbrezova Podbrezova 0-0 HT 0-0 Dunajska Streda Dunajska Streda SLVK

Dunajska Streda 3-1 Podbrezova — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Dunajska Streda
3-1
AWAY Podbrezova
1.82 xG 1.11
37% Ball Possession 63%
13 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 3
1 Corners 6
222 Passes 428
75% Pass Accuracy 85%
14 Box Touches 27
14 Crosses 21
1 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Dunajska Streda vs Podbrezova
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dunajska Streda got the better of Podbrezova 3-1.

As we said in the preview, our model had Dunajska Streda as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Dunajska Streda had 37% of the ball to Podbrezova's 63%, shots finished 13-14, expected goals 1.82 to 1.11.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Dunajska Streda had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Dunajska Streda and 1.00 for Podbrezova.

What was the final score of Dunajska Streda vs Podbrezova?

Dunajska Streda 3-1 Podbrezova in the Slovakia Super League on 07/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dunajska Streda vs Podbrezova?

Before kick-off our model rated a Dunajska Streda win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Dunajska Streda 48%, draw 27%, Podbrezova 26%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Dunajska Streda) — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Dunajska Streda) ✗ Under 2.5
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