Emelec 1-1 Manta — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ecuador - Premier, 7 Apr 2025

Emelec
1-1 HT 0-0
Manta
📅07/04/2025 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Ecuador - Premier – 2025

Emelec vs Manta Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
57%
1.49
Draw
24%
3.94
Away
19%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.8
Over 2.5
50%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.06
No
54%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
21%
X/2
7%
X/X
12%
2/1
8%
2/2
6%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
57%
Home Win
63%
-5.5pp
24%
Draw
22%
+1.3pp
19%
Away Win
15%
+4.2pp
50%
Under 2.5
52%
-1.5pp
50%
Over 2.5
48%
+1.5pp
46%
BTTS Yes
44%
+1.1pp
54%
BTTS No
56%
-1.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Emelec v Manta — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Emelec EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Manta EU Bookmakers 18%
-1% / -16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +4%
1.62/0.74 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.31/1.34
-12% / +38% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +12% / -6%
57% Ball Possession 43%
17 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
312 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 237 · 72%
24.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.0
21.1 Crosses 15.7
2.6 Yellow Cards 3.3

Emelec vs Manta Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Emelec
6W-0D-0L
AWAY Manta
3.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
2.33 xG 0.70
53% Ball Possession 46%
18 Total Shots 10
9 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
324 Passes 182
84% Pass Accuracy 72%
28 Box Touches 12
18 Crosses 11
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
28.11.2021 Emelec Emelec 4-0 HT 0-0 Manta Manta EKV1
18.07.2021 Manta Manta 0-4 HT 0-2 Emelec Emelec EKV1
07.12.2014 Emelec Emelec 2-1 HT 1-0 Manta Manta EKV1
11.10.2014 Manta Manta 1-3 HT 1-1 Emelec Emelec EKV1
27.04.2014 Manta Manta 1-3 HT 0-2 Emelec Emelec EKV1
08.03.2014 Emelec Emelec 4-1 HT 1-0 Manta Manta EKV1

Emelec 1-1 Manta — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Emelec
1-1
AWAY Manta
1.13 xG 0.54
59% Ball Possession 41%
12 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 1
3 Corners 4
310 Passes 175
81% Pass Accuracy 72%
35 Box Touches 7
27 Crosses 10
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Emelec vs Manta
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Emelec and Manta couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

This one beat our numbers. Emelec carried 57% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, Emelec had 59% of the ball to Manta's 41%, shots finished 12-8, expected goals 1.13 to 0.54.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Emelec had the better of it with 6 wins. Those games averaged 3.33 goals for Emelec and 0.67 for Manta.

What was the final score of Emelec vs Manta?

Emelec 1-1 Manta in the Ecuador - Premier on 07/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Emelec vs Manta?

Before kick-off our model rated a Emelec win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Emelec 57%, draw 24%, Manta 19%. The final score 1-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Emelec) ✗ BTTS No
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