Avustralya (K) 2-0 Güney Kore (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 7 Apr 2025

📅07/04/2025 · 🕒12:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home OUR CALL
57%
1.49
Draw
21%
3.94
Away
22%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.0
Over 2.5
52%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.9
No
53%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
27%
3.56
2-3 Goals
43%
1.79
4-5 Goals
19%
3.14
6+ Goals
11%
10.8
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.56 — our 27% vs market 21.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
19%
X/2
11%
X/X
13%
2/1
9%
2/2
7%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Avustralya (K) win — 57%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
57%
Home Win
63%
-6.2pp
21%
Draw
22%
-1.2pp
22%
Away Win
15%
+7.4pp
48%
Under 2.5
46%
+1.7pp
52%
Over 2.5
54%
-1.7pp
47%
BTTS Yes
49%
-1.4pp
53%
BTTS No
51%
+1.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Avustralya (K) EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Güney Kore (K) EU Bookmakers 18%
+2% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -29% / -29%
0.96/0.42 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.64/1.27
-34% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -65% / -25%
56% Ball Possession 44%
15 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
380 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 253 · 73%
26.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 10.6
13.8 Crosses 18.4
0.3 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Avustralya (K)
2W-1D-0L
AWAY Güney Kore (K)
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
2.11 xG 0.55
57% Ball Possession 43%
14 Total Shots 5
5 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 3
373 Passes 253
80% Pass Accuracy 70%
27 Box Touches 9
23 Crosses 10
1 Yellow Cards 1
04.04.2025 Avustralya (K) Avustralya (K) 1-0 HT 0-0 Güney Kore (K) Güney Kore (K) HAZ
03.03.2019 Avustralya (K) Avustralya (K) 4-1 HT 3-1 Güney Kore (K) Güney Kore (K) FFA
07.04.2018 Avustralya (K) Avustralya (K) 0-0 HT 0-0 Güney Kore (K) Güney Kore (K) Asya Kupası Kadınlar
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Avustralya (K)
2-0
AWAY Güney Kore (K)
1.52 xG 0.76
55% Ball Possession 45%
16 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 1
1 Corners 5
372 Passes 272
85% Pass Accuracy 78%
26 Box Touches 21
14 Crosses 19
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Avustralya (K) vs Güney Kore (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Avustralya (K) beat Güney Kore (K) 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Avustralya (K) as the likeliest winner at 57%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Avustralya (K) had 55% of the ball to Güney Kore (K)'s 45%, shots finished 16-9, expected goals 1.52 to 0.76.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Avustralya (K) had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Avustralya (K) and 0.33 for Güney Kore (K).

What was the final score of Avustralya (K) vs Güney Kore (K)?

Avustralya (K) 2-0 Güney Kore (K) in the Friendlies on 07/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Avustralya (K) vs Güney Kore (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a Avustralya (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Avustralya (K) 57%, draw 21%, Güney Kore (K) 22%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Avustralya (K)), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Avustralya (K)) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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