Sarpsborg 08 II 5-1 Drobak / Frogn — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - 3rd Division, 7 Apr 2025

📅07/04/2025 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 2nd Score 3-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
59%
1.28
Draw
20%
6.26
Away
21%
7.18
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
Over 2.5
58%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.43
No
49%
2.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
16%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1/2
5%
1/X
10%
X/1
17%
X/2
11%
X/X
6%
2/1
11%
2/2
5%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
60%
Home Win
75%
-15.1pp
20%
Draw
14%
+6.0pp
21%
Away Win
12%
+9.1pp
51%
BTTS Yes
66%
-14.5pp
49%
BTTS No
34%
+14.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sarpsborg 08 II EU Bookmakers 78%
Head to Head
AWAY Drobak / Frogn EU Bookmakers 14%
-1% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+14% / -14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
53% Ball Possession 47%
15 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
402 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 322 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sarpsborg 08 II
5-1
AWAY Drobak / Frogn
63% Ball Possession 37%
12 Total Shots 4
7 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 2
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Sarpsborg 08 II vs Drobak / Frogn
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sarpsborg 08 II ran out comfortable winners over Drobak / Frogn 5-1. Half-time: 4-0. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Sarpsborg 08 II as the likeliest winner at 60%, and the 5-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (58%) came in.

On the day, Sarpsborg 08 II had 63% of the ball to Drobak / Frogn's 37%, shots finished 12-4.

What was the final score of Sarpsborg 08 II vs Drobak / Frogn?

Sarpsborg 08 II 5-1 Drobak / Frogn in the Norway - 3rd Division on 07/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sarpsborg 08 II vs Drobak / Frogn?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sarpsborg 08 II win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split Sarpsborg 08 II 60%, draw 20%, Drobak / Frogn 21%. The final score 5-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sarpsborg 08 II), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Sarpsborg 08 II) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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