Durban City 0-1 Mamelodi Sundowns — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Afrika - Premier League, 7 Apr 2026

Durban City
0 - 1 HT 0 - 1
Mamelodi Sundowns
📅07/04/2026 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-2 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✓
South Afrika - Premier League – 2025/2026

Durban City vs Mamelodi Sundowns Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
10%
6.35
Draw
22%
3.8
Away Pick
68%
1.46
Under/Over 2.5
Under
59%
1.59
Over
41%
2.16
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
2.56
No
61%
1.45
Total Goals
0-1
33%
2.31
2-3
46%
1.71
4-5
18%
4.59
6+
3%
26.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
5%
1/2
3%
1/X
4%
X/1
4%
X/2
24%
X/X
14%
2/1
1%
2/2
41%
2/X
4%
STRENGTH — green bars inside a box show the pattern support behind that selection, from Good · Strong · Very strong to Great — the deeper the historical record, the fuller the bar; informational, not a sized bet.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.

Durban City v Mamelodi Sundowns — Team-Based Signals

SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME Durban City The Market 16%
Head to Head
AWAY Mamelodi Sundowns The Market 69%
Bad Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Average
0.69 xG Scorediddaakolik model prediction 1.89
1.89 xG Concedediddaakolik model prediction 0.59
Bad Attack Strength Average
Weak Defense Strength Strong
37% Ball Possession 63%
8 Total Shots 14
2 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 7
213 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 447 · 84%
18 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 29
11 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 2

Durban City vs Mamelodi Sundowns Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Durban City
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Mamelodi Sundowns
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
1.14 xG 2.01
22% Ball Possession 78%
6 Total Shots 18
2 Shots on Target 11
2 Corners 4
107 Passes 610
60% Pass Accuracy 90%
8 Box Touches 23
9 Crosses 10
1 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
20.09.2025 Mamelodi Sundowns Mamelodi Sundowns 3-1 HT 2-1 Durban City Durban City GAFPSL

Durban City 0-1 Mamelodi Sundowns — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Durban City
0 - 1
AWAY Mamelodi Sundowns
0.33 xG 1.71
23% Ball Possession 77%
4 Total Shots 15
0 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 4
129 Passes 655
65% Pass Accuracy 90%
8 Box Touches 23
10 Crosses 20
4 Yellow Cards 1
REVIEW Durban City vs Mamelodi Sundowns
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Mamelodi Sundowns edged past Durban City 1-0 away from home.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Mamelodi Sundowns as the likeliest winner at 68%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (61%), and both reads landed as well.

By the numbers, Durban City had 23% of the ball to Mamelodi Sundowns's 77%, shots finished 4-15, expected goals 0.33 to 1.71 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Mamelodi Sundowns's control.

Durban City vs Mamelodi Sundowns Result & Final Score

Durban City 0 - 1 Mamelodi Sundowns in the South Afrika - Premier League on 07/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Durban City vs Mamelodi Sundowns Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated an Mamelodi Sundowns win the most likely single outcome at about 68%, with the full match-result split Durban City 10%, draw 22%, Mamelodi Sundowns 68%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Mamelodi Sundowns), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Mamelodi Sundowns) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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