Aalesund 2-3 Fredrikstad — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - Eliteserien, 7 Apr 2026

Aalesund
2-3 HT 1-1
Fredrikstad
📅07/04/2026 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-2 ✗
Norway - Eliteserien – 2026

Aalesund vs Fredrikstad Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.27
Draw
26%
3.45
Away
35%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.07
Over 2.5
50%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.6
No
46%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
3.78
2-3 Goals
39%
1.8
4-5 Goals
26%
3.04
6+ Goals
10%
9.92
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
3.33
1/2
6%
27.0
1/X
6%
12.6
X/1
13%
5.47
X/2
15%
6.1
X/X
14%
5.07
2/1
7%
24.8
2/2
14%
3.93
2/X
6%
12.8
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
40%
-1.2pp
26%
Draw
26%
+0.1pp
35%
Away Win
34%
+1.0pp
50%
Under 2.5
44%
+5.2pp
50%
Over 2.5
56%
-5.2pp
54%
BTTS Yes
58%
-4.6pp
46%
BTTS No
42%
+4.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Aalesund v Fredrikstad — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Aalesund EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Fredrikstad EU Bookmakers 37%
-7% / -20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +18% / +20%
1.20/1.28 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.17/1.16
-30% / -10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +13% / +77%
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
316 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 360 · 79%
25.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.2
22.3 Crosses 16.5
1.4 Yellow Cards 1.2

Aalesund vs Fredrikstad Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Aalesund
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Fredrikstad
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
47% Ball Possession 53%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
1 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
06.11.2021 Fredrikstad Fredrikstad 2-2 HT 0-0 Aalesund Aalesund NOR1
12.06.2021 Aalesund Aalesund 2-2 HT 2-1 Fredrikstad Fredrikstad NOR1
27.08.2012 Fredrikstad Fredrikstad 1-3 HT 0-2 Aalesund Aalesund NOR
15.07.2012 Aalesund Aalesund 3-0 HT 2-0 Fredrikstad Fredrikstad NOR
20.11.2011 Fredrikstad Fredrikstad 3-1 HT 0-0 Aalesund Aalesund NOR
21.03.2011 Aalesund Aalesund 1-2 HT 1-0 Fredrikstad Fredrikstad NOR

Aalesund 2-3 Fredrikstad — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Aalesund
2-3
AWAY Fredrikstad
1.10 xG 0.57
48% Ball Possession 52%
15 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 5
325 Passes 362
74% Pass Accuracy 78%
31 Box Touches 19
11 Crosses 17
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Aalesund vs Fredrikstad
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Fredrikstad squeezed past Aalesund 3-2 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (39% / 26% / 35%) promised a tight game; Fredrikstad found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Aalesund had 48% of the ball to Fredrikstad's 52%, shots finished 15-9, expected goals 1.10 to 0.57 — on chances, Aalesund could feel hard done by.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Aalesund and 1.67 for Fredrikstad.

What was the final score of Aalesund vs Fredrikstad?

Aalesund 2-3 Fredrikstad in the Norway - Eliteserien on 07/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Aalesund vs Fredrikstad?

Before kick-off our model rated a Aalesund win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Aalesund 39%, draw 26%, Fredrikstad 35%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Aalesund) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Aalesund) ✓ BTTS Yes
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