Dumbarton 2-1 Stirling Albion — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - 2nd Division, 7 May 2024

📅07/05/2024 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.12
Draw
29%
3.35
Away
30%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
2.0
Over 2.5
39%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.63
No
57%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
34%
3.74
2-3 Goals
39%
1.82
4-5 Goals
20%
3.25
6+ Goals
7%
11.35
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.74 — our 34% vs market 21.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
16%
X/2
10%
X/X
14%
2/1
5%
2/2
13%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
43%
-1.9pp
29%
Draw
26%
+2.8pp
29%
Away Win
30%
-0.9pp
61%
Under 2.5
46%
+15.0pp
39%
Over 2.5
54%
-15.0pp
43%
BTTS Yes
57%
-14.2pp
57%
BTTS No
43%
+14.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dumbarton EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Stirling Albion EU Bookmakers 34%
-3% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -1%
1.28/0.89 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.40/1.54
-10% / +32% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +11% / -17%
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
349 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 301 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Dumbarton
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Stirling Albion
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
45% Ball Possession 55%
5 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 3
18.04.2023 Dumbarton Dumbarton 0-0 HT 0-0 Stirling Albion Stirling Albion İK2
25.03.2023 Stirling Albion Stirling Albion 2-2 HT 1-1 Dumbarton Dumbarton İK2
08.10.2022 Stirling Albion Stirling Albion 6-0 HT 4-0 Dumbarton Dumbarton İK2
30.07.2022 Dumbarton Dumbarton 2-0 HT 2-0 Stirling Albion Stirling Albion İK2
09.07.2022 Dumbarton Dumbarton 1-2 HT 0-0 Stirling Albion Stirling Albion İKLK
28.04.2012 Stirling Albion Stirling Albion 1-2 HT 0-0 Dumbarton Dumbarton İK1
POST-MATCH Dumbarton vs Stirling Albion
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dumbarton squeezed past Stirling Albion 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Dumbarton as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Dumbarton and 1.83 for Stirling Albion.

What was the final score of Dumbarton vs Stirling Albion?

Dumbarton 2-1 Stirling Albion in the Scotland - 2nd Division on 07/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dumbarton vs Stirling Albion?

Before kick-off our model rated a Dumbarton win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Dumbarton 41%, draw 29%, Stirling Albion 29%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Dumbarton) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Dumbarton) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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