Crawley Town 3-0 Milton Keynes Dons — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - 2nd Division, 7 May 2024

📅07/05/2024 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.46
Draw
26%
3.54
Away
41%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under
44%
2.29
Over
56%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes Pick
59%
1.48
No
41%
2.45
Total Goals
0-1
22%
4.82
2-3
41%
1.93
4-5
26%
2.81
6+
11%
7.64
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
3.54
1/2
6%
24.45
1/X
7%
12.6
X/1
10%
5.91
X/2
16%
5.72
X/X
11%
5.54
2/1
7%
25.5
2/2
18%
3.39
2/X
8%
12.6
STRENGTH — green bars inside a box show the pattern support behind that selection, from Good · Strong · Very strong to Great — the deeper the historical record, the fuller the bar; informational, not a sized bet.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik model signals — not real match figures
HOME Crawley Town The Market 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Milton Keynes Dons The Market 42%
Strong Season vs Marketall history · vs bookmaker expectation Strong
Great Recent Form vs Marketlatest matches · vs bookmaker expectation Average
1.35 Expected Goals Scoredper match · higher is better 1.47
1.24 Expected Goals Concededper match · lower is better 1.19
Strong Attackvs comparable teams Great
Average Defensevs comparable teams Weak
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
253 · 67% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 313 · 71%
22.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 24.0
17.6 Crosses 18.4
1.9 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Crawley Town
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Milton Keynes Dons
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.44 xG 1.20
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 7
7 Corners 7
452 Passes 312
80% Pass Accuracy 74%
23 Box Touches 16
16 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 2
29.12.2023 Milton Keynes Dons Milton Keynes Dons 2-0 HT 1-0 Crawley Town Crawley Town İN2
15.08.2023 Crawley Town Crawley Town 2-1 HT 1-1 Milton Keynes Dons Milton Keynes Dons İN2
02.03.2019 Milton Keynes Dons Milton Keynes Dons 1-0 HT 1-0 Crawley Town Crawley Town İN2
03.11.2018 Crawley Town Crawley Town 0-4 HT 0-3 Milton Keynes Dons Milton Keynes Dons İN2
10.01.2015 Crawley Town Crawley Town 2-2 HT 1-0 Milton Keynes Dons Milton Keynes Dons İN1
30.08.2014 Milton Keynes Dons Milton Keynes Dons 2-0 HT 1-0 Crawley Town Crawley Town İN1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Crawley Town
3-0
AWAY Milton Keynes Dons
0.93 xG 1.39
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 5
315 Passes 307
74% Pass Accuracy 78%
27 Box Touches 18
12 Crosses 11
3 Yellow Cards 3
REVIEW Crawley Town vs Milton Keynes Dons
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Crawley Town dismantled Milton Keynes Dons 3-0. Half-time: 2-0.

We leaned Milton Keynes Dons at 41% — softly — and the game went the other way. Slim leads do that. On goals, over 2.5 goals (56%) landed while both teams to score (59%) missed.

By the numbers, possession split 51% to 49% in Crawley Town's favour, shots finished 12-13, expected goals 0.93 to 1.39 — by the quality of chances, Milton Keynes Dons deserved more.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Milton Keynes Dons led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 0.67 a game for Crawley Town against 2.00 for Milton Keynes Dons.

Crawley Town vs Milton Keynes Dons Result & Final Score

Crawley Town 3-0 Milton Keynes Dons in the England - 2nd Division on 07/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Crawley Town vs Milton Keynes Dons Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated an Milton Keynes Dons win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Crawley Town 33%, draw 26%, Milton Keynes Dons 41%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Milton Keynes Dons), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Milton Keynes Dons) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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