Örgryte 0-1 Helsingborgs IF — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - Superettan, 7 May 2024

Örgryte
0-1 HT 0-1
Helsingborgs IF
📅07/05/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Sweden - Superettan – 2024

Örgryte vs Helsingborgs IF Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.46
Draw
26%
3.35
Away
39%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.95
Over 2.5
48%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.66
No
48%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
28%
3.55
2-3 Goals
42%
1.8
4-5 Goals
21%
3.38
6+ Goals
9%
12.5
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.55 — our 28% vs market 22.8%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
3.64
1/2
6%
28.0
1/X
7%
13.25
X/1
10%
5.5
X/2
14%
5.51
X/X
14%
4.86
2/1
9%
27.5
2/2
19%
3.65
2/X
6%
13.25
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
37%
-2.7pp
26%
Draw
27%
-0.2pp
39%
Away Win
36%
+2.9pp
52%
Under 2.5
48%
+4.0pp
48%
Over 2.5
52%
-4.0pp
52%
BTTS Yes
56%
-4.3pp
48%
BTTS No
44%
+4.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Örgryte v Helsingborgs IF — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Örgryte EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Helsingborgs IF EU Bookmakers 40%
-3% / -15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -4%
1.21/1.21 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.23/1.18
-19% / +0% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -4% / +25%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
382 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 295 · 75%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.2 Yellow Cards 1.6

Örgryte vs Helsingborgs IF Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Örgryte
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Helsingborgs IF
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 6
7 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
08.08.2023 Helsingborgs IF Helsingborgs IF 2-3 HT 1-1 Örgryte Örgryte İSÇ2
15.07.2023 Örgryte Örgryte 1-2 HT 1-0 Helsingborgs IF Helsingborgs IF İSÇ2
20.11.2021 Örgryte Örgryte 1-1 HT 0-1 Helsingborgs IF Helsingborgs IF İSÇ2
20.04.2021 Helsingborgs IF Helsingborgs IF 4-1 HT 1-0 Örgryte Örgryte İSÇ2
14.08.2018 Örgryte Örgryte 3-4 HT 1-2 Helsingborgs IF Helsingborgs IF İSÇ2
20.05.2018 Helsingborgs IF Helsingborgs IF 2-0 HT 0-0 Örgryte Örgryte İSÇ2

Örgryte 0-1 Helsingborgs IF — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Örgryte
0-1
AWAY Helsingborgs IF
43% Ball Possession 57%
6 Total Shots 8
0 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Örgryte vs Helsingborgs IF
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Helsingborgs IF squeezed past Örgryte 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match split (34% / 26% / 39%) promised a tight game; Helsingborgs IF found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Örgryte had 43% of the ball to Helsingborgs IF's 57%, shots finished 6-8.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Helsingborgs IF led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Örgryte and 2.50 for Helsingborgs IF.

What was the final score of Örgryte vs Helsingborgs IF?

Örgryte 0-1 Helsingborgs IF in the Sweden - Superettan on 07/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Örgryte vs Helsingborgs IF?

Before kick-off our model rated an Helsingborgs IF win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Örgryte 34%, draw 26%, Helsingborgs IF 39%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Helsingborgs IF), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Helsingborgs IF) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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