07/05/2024
·
20:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
3-0
2nd Score
4-0
Umm Salal vs Al Bidda Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Both Teams to Score
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
36%
1/2
3%
1/X
4%
X/1
20%
X/2
7%
X/X
9%
2/1
10%
2/2
7%
2/X
4%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
66%
Home Win
69%
17%
Draw
18%
16%
Away Win
13%
45%
Under 2.5
38%
55%
Over 2.5
62%
43%
BTTS Yes
53%
57%
BTTS No
47%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Umm Salal v Al Bidda — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Umm Salal
EU Bookmakers 73%
Head to Head
AWAY
Al Bidda
EU Bookmakers 16%
+0% /
+0%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+0% /
+0%
–/–
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
–/–
–
/
–
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
–
/
–
57%
Ball Possession
43%
16
Total Shots
9
6
Shots on Target
3
6
Corners
2
437 · 82%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
314 · 75%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
–
POST-MATCH
Umm Salal vs Al Bidda
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Umm Salal got the better of Al Bidda 3-1.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Umm Salal as the likeliest winner at 66%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. On goals, over 2.5 goals (55%) landed while no to both teams scoring (57%) missed.
What was the final score of Umm Salal vs Al Bidda?
Umm Salal 3-1 Al Bidda in the KATEK on 07/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Umm Salal vs Al Bidda?
Before kick-off our model rated a Umm Salal win the most likely single outcome at about 66%, with the full match-result split Umm Salal 66%, draw 17%, Al Bidda 16%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Umm Salal), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.
✓ Match Result (Umm Salal)
✓ Over 2.5
✗ BTTS No
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KATEK
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7 May 2024