Al Ahly 4-1 Sakandary — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Egypt - Premier League, 7 May 2024

📅07/05/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.42
Draw
27%
4.19
Away
19%
6.38
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.97
Over 2.5
39%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
37%
2.03
No
63%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
36%
3.56
2-3 Goals
38%
1.8
4-5 Goals
17%
3.37
6+ Goals
9%
12.35
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.56 — our 36% vs market 22.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
23%
X/2
7%
X/X
11%
2/1
7%
2/2
7%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
66%
-12.1pp
27%
Draw
21%
+5.7pp
19%
Away Win
13%
+6.4pp
61%
Under 2.5
47%
+14.2pp
39%
Over 2.5
53%
-14.2pp
37%
BTTS Yes
45%
-7.9pp
63%
BTTS No
55%
+7.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Ahly EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Sakandary EU Bookmakers 16%
-3% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -6%
1.58/0.79 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.81/1.83
+18% / +27% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +12% / -11%
61% Ball Possession 39%
14 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 4
479 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 201 · 66%
24.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.1
19.2 Crosses 16.0
1.8 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Ahly
6W-0D-0L
AWAY Sakandary
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.17
2.44 xG 0.72
58% Ball Possession 42%
14 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
412 Passes 267
83% Pass Accuracy 76%
23 Box Touches 11
13 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 2
08.07.2023 Sakandary Sakandary 0-2 HT 0-2 Al Ahly Al Ahly MSR
12.12.2022 Al Ahly Al Ahly 3-0 HT 2-0 Sakandary Sakandary MSR
07.08.2022 Sakandary Sakandary 0-3 HT 0-2 Al Ahly Al Ahly MSR
06.04.2022 Al Ahly Al Ahly 1-0 HT 1-0 Sakandary Sakandary MSR
06.05.2021 Sakandary Sakandary 1-2 HT 0-0 Al Ahly Al Ahly MSR
28.12.2020 Al Ahly Al Ahly 4-0 HT 1-0 Sakandary Sakandary MSR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Ahly
4-1
AWAY Sakandary
2.03 xG 0.69
59% Ball Possession 41%
17 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 6
456 Passes 281
85% Pass Accuracy 77%
22 Box Touches 23
11 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Al Ahly vs Sakandary
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Ahly swept aside Sakandary 4-1. Half-time: 3-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Al Ahly as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (63%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Al Ahly had 59% of the ball to Sakandary's 41%, shots finished 17-10, expected goals 2.03 to 0.69.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Al Ahly had the better of it with 6 wins. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Al Ahly and 0.17 for Sakandary.

What was the final score of Al Ahly vs Sakandary?

Al Ahly 4-1 Sakandary in the Egypt - Premier League on 07/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Ahly vs Sakandary?

Before kick-off our model rated a Al Ahly win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Al Ahly 54%, draw 27%, Sakandary 19%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Ahly) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Al Ahly) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →