Vanersborgs FK 3-1 Lidköpings FK — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland, 7 Jun 2024

📅07/06/2024 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.57
Draw
31%
3.45
Away
34%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.15
Over 2.5
53%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.55
No
42%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
9%
1/X
5%
X/1
12%
X/2
8%
X/X
15%
2/1
4%
2/2
17%
2/X
12%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
35%
-0.4pp
31%
Draw
26%
+5.6pp
34%
Away Win
39%
-5.2pp
47%
Under 2.5
43%
+4.2pp
53%
Over 2.5
57%
-4.2pp
58%
BTTS Yes
60%
-2.3pp
42%
BTTS No
40%
+2.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Vanersborgs FK EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Lidköpings FK EU Bookmakers 43%
-8% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -14% / -14%
2.01/2.09 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.27/1.30
+18% / -24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -26% / +21%
45% Ball Possession 55%
11 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 5
298 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 362 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 1.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Vanersborgs FK
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Lidköpings FK
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
43% Ball Possession 57%
4 Total Shots 11
0 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 9
2 Yellow Cards 1
06.08.2023 Lidköpings FK Lidköpings FK 1-0 HT 0-0 Vanersborgs FK Vanersborgs FK İSÇ4
02.04.2023 Vanersborgs FK Vanersborgs FK 1-1 HT 0-0 Lidköpings FK Lidköpings FK İSÇ4
06.08.2022 Vanersborgs FK Vanersborgs FK 0-1 HT 0-0 Lidköpings FK Lidköpings FK İSÇ4
15.04.2022 Lidköpings FK Lidköpings FK 2-2 HT 0-1 Vanersborgs FK Vanersborgs FK İSÇ4
31.10.2021 Lidköpings FK Lidköpings FK 0-1 HT 0-1 Vanersborgs FK Vanersborgs FK İSÇ4
30.06.2021 Vanersborgs FK Vanersborgs FK 3-0 HT 1-0 Lidköpings FK Lidköpings FK İSÇ4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Vanersborgs FK
3-1
AWAY Lidköpings FK
54% Ball Possession 46%
16 Total Shots 16
7 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 9
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Vanersborgs FK vs Lidköpings FK
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Vanersborgs FK beat Lidköpings FK 3-1. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match split (35% / 31% / 34%) promised a tight game; Vanersborgs FK found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged both teams to score (58%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Vanersborgs FK had 54% of the ball to Lidköpings FK's 46%, shots finished 16-16.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Vanersborgs FK and 0.83 for Lidköpings FK.

What was the final score of Vanersborgs FK vs Lidköpings FK?

Vanersborgs FK 3-1 Lidköpings FK in the Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland on 07/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Vanersborgs FK vs Lidköpings FK?

Before kick-off our model rated a Vanersborgs FK win the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split Vanersborgs FK 35%, draw 31%, Lidköpings FK 34%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Vanersborgs FK), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Vanersborgs FK) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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