San Luis De Quillota 3-1 La Serena — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Chile - Cup, 7 Jun 2025

📅07/06/2025 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.38
Draw
35%
2.94
Away
27%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.59
Over 2.5
42%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.95
No
50%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
12%
X/2
12%
X/X
14%
2/1
6%
2/2
10%
2/X
13%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
38%
-0.2pp
35%
Draw
31%
+3.9pp
27%
Away Win
31%
-3.7pp
58%
Under 2.5
59%
-0.7pp
42%
Over 2.5
41%
+0.7pp
50%
BTTS Yes
47%
+2.6pp
50%
BTTS No
53%
-2.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME San Luis De Quillota EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY La Serena EU Bookmakers 34%
-7% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -48% / -48%
1.00/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.83/1.83
-9% / +7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -27% / -41%
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
256 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 341 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME San Luis De Quillota
2W-2D-2L
AWAY La Serena
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
0.84 xG 1.53
54% Ball Possession 46%
10 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
362 Passes 184
80% Pass Accuracy 62%
24 Box Touches 5
52 Crosses 6
1 Yellow Cards 1
20.05.2023 La Serena La Serena 2-2 HT 1-1 San Luis De Quillota San Luis De Quillota ŞİLİB
05.10.2019 San Luis De Quillota San Luis De Quillota 0-3 HT 0-2 La Serena La Serena ŞİLİB
19.04.2015 La Serena La Serena 1-2 HT 0-1 San Luis De Quillota San Luis De Quillota ŞİLİB
04.01.2015 San Luis De Quillota San Luis De Quillota 2-1 HT 1-1 La Serena La Serena ŞİLİB
26.04.2014 La Serena La Serena 1-0 HT 1-0 San Luis De Quillota San Luis De Quillota ŞİLİB
04.02.2014 San Luis De Quillota San Luis De Quillota 3-3 HT 2-1 La Serena La Serena ŞİLİB
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME San Luis De Quillota
3-1
AWAY La Serena
1.11 xG 0.97
57% Ball Possession 43%
15 Total Shots 13
8 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 6
374 Passes 270
81% Pass Accuracy 80%
29 Box Touches 20
14 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH San Luis De Quillota vs La Serena
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

San Luis De Quillota beat La Serena 3-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 35% / 27% — and on the day San Luis De Quillota made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, San Luis De Quillota had 57% of the ball to La Serena's 43%, shots finished 15-13, expected goals 1.11 to 0.97.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for San Luis De Quillota and 1.83 for La Serena.

What was the final score of San Luis De Quillota vs La Serena?

San Luis De Quillota 3-1 La Serena in the Chile - Cup on 07/06/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for San Luis De Quillota vs La Serena?

Before kick-off our model rated a San Luis De Quillota win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split San Luis De Quillota 38%, draw 35%, La Serena 27%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (San Luis De Quillota) — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (San Luis De Quillota) ✗ Under 2.5
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