ABD vs Türkiye Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
ABD v Türkiye — Team-Based Signals
ABD vs Türkiye Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings
2-1
HT 1-0
Türkiye
HAZ
2-1
HT 0-1
Türkiye
HAZ
ABD 1-2 Türkiye — Actual Match Statistics
Türkiye nicked a narrow win over ABD 2-1 away from home.
Our pre-match lean was ABD at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, ABD had 59% of the ball to Türkiye's 41%, shots finished 13-11, expected goals 1.18 to 1.42.
For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, ABD had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for ABD and 1.00 for Türkiye.
What was the final score of ABD vs Türkiye?
ABD 1-2 Türkiye in the Friendlies - Türk Takımları on 07/06/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for ABD vs Türkiye?
Before kick-off our model rated a ABD win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split ABD 45%, draw 28%, Türkiye 27%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.