Kanada 4-2 Ukrayna — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 7 Jun 2025

Kanada
4-2 HT 3-0
Ukrayna
📅07/06/2025 · 🕒22:35 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Friendlies – 2025

Kanada vs Ukrayna Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.12
Draw
31%
3.28
Away
30%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.75
Over 2.5
45%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.81
No
46%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
3.04
2-3 Goals
46%
1.82
4-5 Goals
20%
4.02
6+ Goals
8%
18.05
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
3.12
1/2
6%
35.0
1/X
8%
13.45
X/1
14%
4.92
X/2
14%
6.71
X/X
12%
4.46
2/1
6%
27.5
2/2
10%
5.02
2/X EV+ ✗
11%
14.05
Value flag · 2/X at 14.05 — our 11% vs market 4.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
44%
-4.8pp
31%
Draw
27%
+3.8pp
30%
Away Win
29%
+0.9pp
55%
Under 2.5
53%
+1.9pp
45%
Over 2.5
47%
-1.9pp
54%
BTTS Yes
51%
+3.1pp
46%
BTTS No
49%
-3.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Kanada v Ukrayna — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kanada EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Ukrayna EU Bookmakers 32%
+36% / +36% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -11%
1.40/0.18 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.74/2.00
-14% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -42% / -25%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
438 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 379 · 82%
19.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.7
16.0 Crosses 14.0
– Yellow Cards 2.4

Kanada vs Ukrayna Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kanada
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Ukrayna
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
The Meetings
08.10.2010 Ukrayna Ukrayna 2-2 HT 0-2 Kanada Kanada HAZ

Kanada 4-2 Ukrayna — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kanada
4-2
AWAY Ukrayna
2.47 xG 2.21
37% Ball Possession 63%
12 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 8
1 Corners 7
270 Passes 505
81% Pass Accuracy 88%
23 Box Touches 21
6 Crosses 19
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Kanada vs Ukrayna
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kanada beat Ukrayna 4-2. Half-time: 3-0. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 31% / 30% — and on the day Kanada made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Kanada had 37% of the ball to Ukrayna's 63%, shots finished 12-13, expected goals 2.47 to 2.21.

What was the final score of Kanada vs Ukrayna?

Kanada 4-2 Ukrayna in the Friendlies on 07/06/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kanada vs Ukrayna?

Before kick-off our model rated a Kanada win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Kanada 39%, draw 31%, Ukrayna 30%. The final score 4-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Kanada), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Kanada) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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