Canberra FC 2-1 Monaro Panthers — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - NPL Başkent, 7 Jul 2024

📅07/07/2024 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.86
Draw
24%
3.94
Away
29%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
2.59
Over 2.5
58%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.46
No
42%
2.51
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
33%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
15%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
3%
1/X
9%
X/1
19%
X/2
7%
X/X
12%
2/1
5%
2/2
19%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
50%
-2.9pp
24%
Draw
22%
+2.1pp
29%
Away Win
28%
+0.8pp
42%
Under 2.5
35%
+6.8pp
58%
Over 2.5
65%
-6.8pp
58%
BTTS Yes
64%
-6.4pp
42%
BTTS No
36%
+6.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Canberra FC EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY Monaro Panthers EU Bookmakers 32%
-15% / -15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +20% / +20%
1.41/1.32 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.72/1.27
-17% / -2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -5% / +54%
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
302 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 346 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.9 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Canberra FC
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Monaro Panthers
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
53% Ball Possession 47%
16 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
19.05.2024 Canberra FC Canberra FC 0-0 Monaro Panthers Monaro Panthers AVNPL
19.08.2023 Canberra FC Canberra FC 0-1 Monaro Panthers Monaro Panthers AVNPL
25.06.2023 Canberra FC Canberra FC 2-1 Monaro Panthers Monaro Panthers AVTCT
06.05.2023 Monaro Panthers Monaro Panthers 1-0 Canberra FC Canberra FC AVNPL
01.10.2022 Canberra FC Canberra FC 1-2 HT 0-1 Monaro Panthers Monaro Panthers AVTCT
14.08.2022 Canberra FC Canberra FC 2-2 Monaro Panthers Monaro Panthers AVNPL
POST-MATCH Canberra FC vs Monaro Panthers
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Canberra FC nicked a narrow win over Monaro Panthers 2-1.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Canberra FC as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (58%), both teams to score (58%), and both reads landed as well.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Monaro Panthers led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Canberra FC and 1.17 for Monaro Panthers.

What was the final score of Canberra FC vs Monaro Panthers?

Canberra FC 2-1 Monaro Panthers in the Australia - NPL Başkent on 07/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Canberra FC vs Monaro Panthers?

Before kick-off our model rated a Canberra FC win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Canberra FC 47%, draw 24%, Monaro Panthers 29%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Canberra FC), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Canberra FC) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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