Molodechno-DYuSSh 4 1-0 Dnepr Rogachev — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belarus - 1st Division, 7 Jul 2024

📅07/07/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
1.82
Draw
25%
3.72
Away
32%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
Over 2.5
56%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
No
46%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
17%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
30%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
5%
1/X
10%
X/1
9%
X/2
16%
X/X
8%
2/1
7%
2/2
10%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
51%
-7.8pp
25%
Draw
24%
+1.8pp
32%
Away Win
26%
+6.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Molodechno-DYuSSh 4 EU Bookmakers 55%
Head to Head
AWAY Dnepr Rogachev EU Bookmakers 29%
-64% / -64% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +64% / +64%
1.00/2.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 4.48/1.48
-39% / -30% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +150% / +6%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 3
331 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 392 · 84%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Molodechno-DYuSSh 4
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Dnepr Rogachev
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 4.00
7 Corners 4
27.08.2023 Dnepr Rogachev Dnepr Rogachev 4-2 HT 2-1 Molodechno-DYuSSh 4 Molodechno-DYuSSh 4 BLR1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Molodechno-DYuSSh 4
1-0
AWAY Dnepr Rogachev
46% Ball Possession 54%
8 Total Shots 10
2 Shots on Target 8
5 Corners 6
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Molodechno-DYuSSh 4 vs Dnepr Rogachev
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Molodechno-DYuSSh 4 edged past Dnepr Rogachev 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Molodechno-DYuSSh 4 as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Molodechno-DYuSSh 4 had 46% of the ball to Dnepr Rogachev's 54%, shots finished 8-10.

What was the final score of Molodechno-DYuSSh 4 vs Dnepr Rogachev?

Molodechno-DYuSSh 4 1-0 Dnepr Rogachev in the Belarus - 1st Division on 07/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Molodechno-DYuSSh 4 vs Dnepr Rogachev?

Before kick-off our model rated a Molodechno-DYuSSh 4 win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Molodechno-DYuSSh 4 43%, draw 25%, Dnepr Rogachev 32%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Molodechno-DYuSSh 4) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Molodechno-DYuSSh 4) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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