IFK Mariehamn 0-3 Haka — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Finland - Veikkausliiga, 7 Jul 2024

📅07/07/2024 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.46
Draw
29%
3.11
Away
31%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.71
Over 2.5
41%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.82
No
52%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2.83
2-3 Goals
43%
1.77
4-5 Goals
19%
4.12
6+ Goals
9%
19.7
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
3.76
1/2
6%
32.0
1/X
7%
13.3
X/1
15%
5.33
X/2
11%
5.54
X/X
15%
4.15
2/1
6%
31.5
2/2
14%
3.96
2/X
7%
13.35
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
37%
+3.0pp
29%
Draw
29%
+0.5pp
31%
Away Win
34%
-3.5pp
59%
Under 2.5
55%
+4.4pp
41%
Over 2.5
45%
-4.4pp
48%
BTTS Yes
51%
-2.5pp
52%
BTTS No
49%
+2.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME IFK Mariehamn EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Haka EU Bookmakers 38%
-4% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +4%
1.10/1.72 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.25/1.31
-3% / -12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +16% / -6%
52% Ball Possession 48%
10 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
355 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 272 · 75%
16.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.6
13.2 Crosses 15.2
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME IFK Mariehamn
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Haka
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.10 xG 2.01
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 7
307 Passes 359
77% Pass Accuracy 80%
14 Box Touches 30
14 Crosses 28
3 Yellow Cards 1
07.06.2024 Haka Haka 2-0 HT 1-0 IFK Mariehamn IFK Mariehamn FİN
22.09.2023 IFK Mariehamn IFK Mariehamn 2-1 HT 1-1 Haka Haka FİN
11.08.2023 Haka Haka 1-1 HT 0-1 IFK Mariehamn IFK Mariehamn FİN
13.05.2023 IFK Mariehamn IFK Mariehamn 2-1 HT 1-1 Haka Haka FİN
06.08.2022 IFK Mariehamn IFK Mariehamn 2-0 HT 1-0 Haka Haka FİN
18.06.2022 Haka Haka 3-2 HT 2-1 IFK Mariehamn IFK Mariehamn FİN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME IFK Mariehamn
0-3
AWAY Haka
0.56 xG 1.63
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 2
332 Passes 371
77% Pass Accuracy 80%
13 Box Touches 17
18 Crosses 11
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH IFK Mariehamn vs Haka
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Haka ran out comfortable winners over IFK Mariehamn 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 29% / 31% — and on the day Haka made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (59%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, IFK Mariehamn had 49% of the ball to Haka's 51%, shots finished 11-10, expected goals 0.56 to 1.63.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, IFK Mariehamn had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for IFK Mariehamn and 1.33 for Haka.

What was the final score of IFK Mariehamn vs Haka?

IFK Mariehamn 0-3 Haka in the Finland - Veikkausliiga on 07/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for IFK Mariehamn vs Haka?

Before kick-off our model rated a IFK Mariehamn win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split IFK Mariehamn 40%, draw 29%, Haka 31%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (IFK Mariehamn), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (IFK Mariehamn) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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