Ansan Greeners 1-2 Jeonnam Dragons — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Kore - K League Challenge, 7 Jul 2024

📅07/07/2024 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
3.46
Draw
30%
3.35
Away
42%
1.91
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.82
Over 2.5
47%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.76
No
49%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
27%
3.22
2-3 Goals
41%
1.78
4-5 Goals
23%
3.64
6+ Goals
9%
14.95
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.22 — our 27% vs market 25.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
7%
X/2
20%
X/X
16%
2/1
7%
2/2
15%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
25%
+3.0pp
30%
Draw
26%
+3.5pp
42%
Away Win
48%
-6.4pp
53%
Under 2.5
51%
+1.9pp
47%
Over 2.5
49%
-1.9pp
51%
BTTS Yes
53%
-1.9pp
49%
BTTS No
47%
+1.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ansan Greeners EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Jeonnam Dragons EU Bookmakers 52%
-9% / -24% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -3%
1.18/1.49 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.03/0.96
-27% / -6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -4% / +0%
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
287 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 363 · 78%
19.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.9
14.3 Crosses 18.3
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ansan Greeners
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Jeonnam Dragons
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.67
1.46 xG 2.71
50% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 5
252 Passes 383
71% Pass Accuracy 80%
22 Box Touches 32
6 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 2
14.04.2024 Jeonnam Dragons Jeonnam Dragons 1-1 HT 0-1 Ansan Greeners Ansan Greeners GKOR2
07.10.2023 Jeonnam Dragons Jeonnam Dragons 3-2 HT 1-1 Ansan Greeners Ansan Greeners GKOR2
19.07.2023 Jeonnam Dragons Jeonnam Dragons 5-2 HT 3-1 Ansan Greeners Ansan Greeners GKOR2
23.04.2023 Ansan Greeners Ansan Greeners 1-0 HT 0-0 Jeonnam Dragons Jeonnam Dragons GKOR2
14.09.2022 Ansan Greeners Ansan Greeners 1-7 HT 0-4 Jeonnam Dragons Jeonnam Dragons GKOR2
31.07.2022 Ansan Greeners Ansan Greeners 3-0 HT 0-0 Jeonnam Dragons Jeonnam Dragons GKOR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ansan Greeners
1-2
AWAY Jeonnam Dragons
57% Ball Possession 43%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 9
4 Corners 4
469 Passes 375
86% Pass Accuracy 83%
8 Crosses 5
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Ansan Greeners vs Jeonnam Dragons
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Jeonnam Dragons squeezed past Ansan Greeners 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Jeonnam Dragons as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Ansan Greeners had 57% of the ball to Jeonnam Dragons's 43%, shots finished 14-11.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Jeonnam Dragons led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Ansan Greeners and 2.67 for Jeonnam Dragons.

What was the final score of Ansan Greeners vs Jeonnam Dragons?

Ansan Greeners 1-2 Jeonnam Dragons in the South Kore - K League Challenge on 07/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ansan Greeners vs Jeonnam Dragons?

Before kick-off our model rated an Jeonnam Dragons win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Ansan Greeners 28%, draw 30%, Jeonnam Dragons 42%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Jeonnam Dragons), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Jeonnam Dragons) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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GKOR2 More South Kore - K League Challenge
7 Jul 2024
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