Kamatamare Sanuki 0-1 Ryukyu — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J3 League, 7 Jul 2024

📅07/07/2024 · 🕒12:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.47
Draw
25%
3.28
Away
33%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.82
Over 2.5
49%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.73
No
52%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
10%
X/2
14%
X/X
12%
2/1
9%
2/2
12%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
37%
+4.8pp
26%
Draw
27%
-1.6pp
33%
Away Win
36%
-3.2pp
51%
Under 2.5
51%
+0.2pp
49%
Over 2.5
49%
-0.2pp
48%
BTTS Yes
54%
-5.8pp
52%
BTTS No
46%
+5.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kamatamare Sanuki EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Ryukyu EU Bookmakers 39%
-11% / -18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -13% / -13%
0.82/1.13 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.72/1.15
-38% / +15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -46% / +4%
47% Ball Possession 53%
13 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
238 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 298 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.3 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kamatamare Sanuki
0W-1D-1L
AWAY Ryukyu
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
48% Ball Possession 52%
16 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
0 Yellow Cards 2
03.05.2024 Ryukyu Ryukyu 0-0 HT 0-0 Kamatamare Sanuki Kamatamare Sanuki JAP3
07.10.2023 Ryukyu Ryukyu 1-0 HT 1-0 Kamatamare Sanuki Kamatamare Sanuki JAP3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kamatamare Sanuki
0-1
AWAY Ryukyu
49% Ball Possession 51%
16 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Kamatamare Sanuki vs Ryukyu
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ryukyu nicked a narrow win over Kamatamare Sanuki 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Kamatamare Sanuki at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Kamatamare Sanuki had 49% of the ball to Ryukyu's 51%, shots finished 16-10.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Ryukyu led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.00 goals for Kamatamare Sanuki and 0.50 for Ryukyu.

What was the final score of Kamatamare Sanuki vs Ryukyu?

Kamatamare Sanuki 0-1 Ryukyu in the Japan - J3 League on 07/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kamatamare Sanuki vs Ryukyu?

Before kick-off our model rated a Kamatamare Sanuki win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Kamatamare Sanuki 42%, draw 26%, Ryukyu 33%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Kamatamare Sanuki) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Kamatamare Sanuki) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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