07/07/2024
·
03:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
1-2
2nd Score
2-2
St. Croix vs RKC Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Both Teams to Score
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
16%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
15%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
7%
X/2
14%
X/X
14%
2/1
4%
2/2
21%
2/X
4%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
46%
23%
Draw
23%
42%
Away Win
31%
41%
Under 2.5
35%
59%
Over 2.5
65%
54%
BTTS Yes
67%
46%
BTTS No
33%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
St. Croix v RKC — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
St. Croix
EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY
RKC
EU Bookmakers 34%
+43% /
+43%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+0% /
+0%
–/–
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
–/–
+10%
/
+36%
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
–
/
–
52%
Ball Possession
48%
12
Total Shots
15
6
Shots on Target
8
5
Corners
4
359 · 82%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
306 · 80%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
–
St. Croix vs RKC Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings
H2H
Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME
St. Croix
0W-1D-0L
AWAY
RKC
2.00
Avg Goals (FT)
2.00
The Meetings
13.07.2023
St. Croix
2-2
RKC
USL2
2-2
RKC
USL2
POST-MATCH
St. Croix vs RKC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
RKC got the better of St. Croix 2-0 away from home.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had RKC as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (59%) — went the other way, though.
What was the final score of St. Croix vs RKC?
St. Croix 0-2 RKC in the USA - USL League 2 on 07/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for St. Croix vs RKC?
Before kick-off our model rated an RKC win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split St. Croix 35%, draw 23%, RKC 42%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (RKC) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.
✓ Match Result (RKC)
✗ Over 2.5
✗ BTTS Yes
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7 Jul 2024