Tennessee 2-2 Asheville City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - USL League 2, 7 Jul 2024

📅07/07/2024 · 🕒03:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
25%
4.48
Draw
19%
3.94
Away
56%
1.6
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
39%
2.21
Over 2.5
61%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.66
No
44%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
31%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
8%
1/X
4%
X/1
9%
X/2
19%
X/X
10%
2/1
7%
2/2
29%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
25%
Home Win
19%
+5.6pp
19%
Draw
22%
-3.3pp
56%
Away Win
58%
-2.3pp
39%
Under 2.5
41%
-2.7pp
61%
Over 2.5
59%
+2.7pp
56%
BTTS Yes
56%
+0.2pp
44%
BTTS No
44%
-0.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Tennessee EU Bookmakers 22%
Head to Head
AWAY Asheville City EU Bookmakers 62%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -7%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -10% / +19%
39% Ball Possession 61%
9 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 8
3 Corners 8
324 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 363 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Tennessee
0W-1D-1L
AWAY Asheville City
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
09.07.2023 Asheville City Asheville City 2-0 HT 1-0 Tennessee Tennessee USL2
10.07.2022 Asheville City Asheville City 0-0 HT 0-0 Tennessee Tennessee USL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Tennessee
2-2
AWAY Asheville City
46% Ball Possession 54%
16 Total Shots 14
8 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Tennessee vs Asheville City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Tennessee and Asheville City couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Asheville City at 56% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (61%), both teams to score (56%) came in.

On the day, Tennessee had 46% of the ball to Asheville City's 54%, shots finished 16-14.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Asheville City led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.00 goals for Tennessee and 1.00 for Asheville City.

What was the final score of Tennessee vs Asheville City?

Tennessee 2-2 Asheville City in the USA - USL League 2 on 07/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Tennessee vs Asheville City?

Before kick-off our model rated an Asheville City win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Tennessee 25%, draw 19%, Asheville City 56%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Asheville City) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Asheville City) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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