Thunder Bay Chill 2-0 Rochester — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - USL League 2, 7 Jul 2024

📅07/07/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
65%
1.25
Draw
21%
5.71
Away
14%
8.19
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
31%
Over 2.5
69%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
No
42%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
2-3 Goals
26%
4-5 Goals
38%
6+ Goals
17%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
39%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
18%
X/2
5%
X/X
7%
2/1
7%
2/2
6%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
64%
Home Win
76%
-11.3pp
21%
Draw
15%
+6.5pp
14%
Away Win
10%
+4.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Thunder Bay Chill EU Bookmakers 80%
Head to Head
AWAY Rochester EU Bookmakers 12%
-8% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +19% / +19%
3.67/2.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.33/3.64
+37% / -48% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +28% / -27%
59% Ball Possession 41%
18 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
445 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 282 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Thunder Bay Chill vs Rochester
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Thunder Bay Chill beat Rochester 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Thunder Bay Chill as the likeliest winner at 64%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (69%), both teams to score (58%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of Thunder Bay Chill vs Rochester?

Thunder Bay Chill 2-0 Rochester in the USA - USL League 2 on 07/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Thunder Bay Chill vs Rochester?

Before kick-off our model rated a Thunder Bay Chill win the most likely single outcome at about 64%, with the full match-result split Thunder Bay Chill 64%, draw 21%, Rochester 14%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Thunder Bay Chill) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Thunder Bay Chill) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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