Vermont Green 1-2 Seacoast United Phantoms — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - USL League 2, 7 Jul 2024

📅07/07/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.02
Draw
20%
3.54
Away
44%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
Over 2.5
54%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
No
50%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
32%
4-5 Goals
29%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
11%
X/2
22%
X/X
8%
2/1
8%
2/2
17%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
46%
-10.0pp
20%
Draw
25%
-4.9pp
44%
Away Win
30%
+14.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Vermont Green EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Seacoast United Phantoms EU Bookmakers 33%
-55% / -55% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +9%
0.00/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.32/2.34
-100% / +36% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +59% / -29%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
333 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 279 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 6.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Vermont Green
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Seacoast United Phantoms
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
57% Ball Possession 43%
18 Total Shots 5
9 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 2
3 Yellow Cards 4
12.06.2024 Seacoast United Phantoms Seacoast United Phantoms 3-1 HT 3-1 Vermont Green Vermont Green USL2
28.06.2023 Seacoast United Phantoms Seacoast United Phantoms 1-2 HT 0-2 Vermont Green Vermont Green USL2
POST-MATCH Vermont Green vs Seacoast United Phantoms
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Seacoast United Phantoms edged past Vermont Green 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Seacoast United Phantoms as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Vermont Green and 2.00 for Seacoast United Phantoms.

What was the final score of Vermont Green vs Seacoast United Phantoms?

Vermont Green 1-2 Seacoast United Phantoms in the USA - USL League 2 on 07/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Vermont Green vs Seacoast United Phantoms?

Before kick-off our model rated an Seacoast United Phantoms win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Vermont Green 36%, draw 20%, Seacoast United Phantoms 44%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Seacoast United Phantoms), Over 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Seacoast United Phantoms) ✓ Over 2.5
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