Trujillanos 0-1 Monagas — Result, Statistics & Match Review — VENK, 7 Jul 2024

📅07/07/2024 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
3.87
Draw
25%
3.54
Away
39%
1.74
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.82
Over 2.5
48%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.85
No
51%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
12%
X/2
12%
X/X
11%
2/1
4%
2/2
23%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
22%
+13.9pp
25%
Draw
25%
+0.7pp
38%
Away Win
53%
-14.6pp
52%
Under 2.5
51%
+0.9pp
48%
Over 2.5
49%
-0.9pp
49%
BTTS Yes
50%
-1.3pp
51%
BTTS No
50%
+1.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Trujillanos EU Bookmakers 26%
Head to Head
AWAY Monagas EU Bookmakers 57%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +4%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -1% / +1%
44% Ball Possession 56%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
260 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 351 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 1.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Trujillanos
0-1
AWAY Monagas
53% Ball Possession 47%
6 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 3
5 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Trujillanos vs Monagas
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Monagas squeezed past Trujillanos 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match split (36% / 25% / 38%) promised a tight game; Monagas found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Trujillanos had 53% of the ball to Monagas's 47%, shots finished 6-8.

What was the final score of Trujillanos vs Monagas?

Trujillanos 0-1 Monagas in the VENK on 07/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Trujillanos vs Monagas?

Before kick-off our model rated an Monagas win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Trujillanos 36%, draw 25%, Monagas 38%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Monagas), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Monagas) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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