Riga FC II 1-0 Tukums II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Latvia - 1st Division, 7 Jul 2025

📅07/07/2025 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.9
Draw
25%
3.8
Away
26%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.23
Over 2.5
56%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.33
No
49%
3.05
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
31%
4-5 Goals
31%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
21%
X/2
11%
X/X
11%
2/1
6%
2/2
10%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
48%
+0.7pp
25%
Draw
23%
+2.3pp
26%
Away Win
29%
-3.0pp
44%
Under 2.5
41%
+3.0pp
56%
Over 2.5
59%
-3.0pp
51%
BTTS Yes
71%
-20.0pp
49%
BTTS No
29%
+20.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Riga FC II EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Tukums II EU Bookmakers 32%
+21% / +21% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -20% / -20%
2.42/0.99 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.44/2.73
+11% / +10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +26% / -42%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
302 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 272 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Riga FC II
2W-0D-0L
AWAY Tukums II
5.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
26.05.2024 Tukums II Tukums II 0-7 HT 0-1 Riga FC II Riga FC II LET1
22.07.2023 Riga FC II Riga FC II 3-2 Tukums II Tukums II LET1
POST-MATCH Riga FC II vs Tukums II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Riga FC II nicked a narrow win over Tukums II 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Riga FC II as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Riga FC II had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 5.00 goals for Riga FC II and 1.00 for Tukums II.

What was the final score of Riga FC II vs Tukums II?

Riga FC II 1-0 Tukums II in the Latvia - 1st Division on 07/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Riga FC II vs Tukums II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Riga FC II win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Riga FC II 49%, draw 25%, Tukums II 26%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Riga FC II) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Riga FC II) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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