Ararat-Armenia 2-0 Riga FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Champions League, 7 Jul 2026

📅07/07/2026 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
2.46
Draw
25%
3.18
Away
28%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.75
Over 2.5
50%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.76
No
46%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2.8
2-3 Goals
39%
1.7
4-5 Goals
22%
3.7
6+ Goals
9%
16.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
8%
1/X
7%
X/1
21%
X/2
11%
X/X
13%
2/1
10%
2/2
9%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
37%
+9.8pp
26%
Draw
28%
-2.7pp
28%
Away Win
35%
-7.1pp
50%
Under 2.5
53%
-3.4pp
50%
Over 2.5
47%
+3.4pp
54%
BTTS Yes
53%
+1.0pp
46%
BTTS No
47%
-1.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ararat-Armenia EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Riga FC EU Bookmakers 38%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
49% Ball Possession 51%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
294 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 356 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ararat-Armenia
2-0
AWAY Riga FC
13 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 8
5 Corners 6
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Ararat-Armenia vs Riga FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ararat-Armenia beat Riga FC 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Ararat-Armenia as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, shots finished 13-15.

What was the final score of Ararat-Armenia vs Riga FC?

Ararat-Armenia 2-0 Riga FC in the Champions League on 07/07/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ararat-Armenia vs Riga FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ararat-Armenia win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Ararat-Armenia 47%, draw 26%, Riga FC 28%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ararat-Armenia) — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Ararat-Armenia) ✗ BTTS Yes
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