San Lorenzo vs Velez Sarsfield Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
San Lorenzo v Velez Sarsfield — Team-Based Signals
San Lorenzo vs Velez Sarsfield Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-0
HT 0-0
San Lorenzo
ARJ
1-0
HT 0-0
Velez Sarsfield
ARJ
2-1
HT 2-1
San Lorenzo
ARJ
1-0
HT 1-0
Velez Sarsfield
ARJ
0-0
HT 0-0
San Lorenzo
ARJ
2-2
HT 1-0
San Lorenzo
ARJ
San Lorenzo 1-3 Velez Sarsfield — Actual Match Statistics
Velez Sarsfield saw off San Lorenzo 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.
We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 30% / 32% — and on the day Velez Sarsfield made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (60%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, San Lorenzo had 54% of the ball to Velez Sarsfield's 46%, shots finished 9-12, expected goals 0.43 to 1.99.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, San Lorenzo had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for San Lorenzo and 0.67 for Velez Sarsfield.
What was the final score of San Lorenzo vs Velez Sarsfield?
San Lorenzo 1-3 Velez Sarsfield in the Argentina - Cup on 07/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for San Lorenzo vs Velez Sarsfield?
Before kick-off our model rated a San Lorenzo win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split San Lorenzo 38%, draw 30%, Velez Sarsfield 32%. The final score 1-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.