San Lorenzo vs Velez Sarsfield Prediction — Model Probabilities
San Lorenzo v Velez Sarsfield — Team-Based Signals
San Lorenzo vs Velez Sarsfield Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
San Lorenzo 1-3 Velez Sarsfield — Actual Match Statistics
Velez Sarsfield saw off San Lorenzo 3-1 on the road. Half-time: 0-1.
We called this one close before kick-off — 28% / 37% / 35% — and on the day Velez Sarsfield made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (73%), no to both teams scoring (59%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, possession split 54% to 46% in San Lorenzo's favour, shots finished 9-12, expected goals 0.43 to 1.99.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, San Lorenzo had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 0.83 a game for San Lorenzo against 0.67 for Velez Sarsfield.
San Lorenzo vs Velez Sarsfield Result & Final Score
San Lorenzo 1 - 3 Velez Sarsfield in the Argentina - Cup on 07/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
San Lorenzo vs Velez Sarsfield Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a draw the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split San Lorenzo 28%, draw 37%, Velez Sarsfield 35%. The final score 1-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.