Ceara vs Guarani FC Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Ceara v Guarani FC — Team-Based Signals
Ceara vs Guarani FC Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-0
HT 0-0
Ceara
BR2
0-3
HT 0-2
Guarani FC
BR2
2-2
HT 1-1
Guarani FC
BR2
2-2
HT 2-1
Ceara
BR2
1-0
HT 0-0
Guarani FC
BR2
4-1
HT 1-0
Ceara
BR2
Ceara 3-1 Guarani FC — Actual Match Statistics
Ceara beat Guarani FC 3-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Ceara as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (58%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Ceara had 46% of the ball to Guarani FC's 54%, shots finished 8-5, expected goals 0.45 to 1.06 — the balance of chances actually favoured Guarani FC.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Guarani FC led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Ceara and 1.83 for Guarani FC.
What was the final score of Ceara vs Guarani FC?
Ceara 3-1 Guarani FC in the Brazil - Serie B on 07/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Ceara vs Guarani FC?
Before kick-off our model rated a Ceara win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Ceara 52%, draw 27%, Guarani FC 21%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ceara) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.