New England Revolution 1-1 Nashville SC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Concacaf League Cup, 7 Aug 2024

📅07/08/2024 · 🕒02:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.38
Draw
29%
3.28
Away
32%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.82
Over 2.5
44%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.73
No
54%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
31%
3.21
2-3 Goals
38%
1.78
4-5 Goals
22%
3.66
6+ Goals
9%
15.15
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.21 — our 31% vs market 25.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
17%
X/2
12%
X/X
15%
2/1
6%
2/2
14%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
38%
+1.1pp
29%
Draw
27%
+2.0pp
31%
Away Win
35%
-3.2pp
56%
Under 2.5
51%
+4.5pp
44%
Over 2.5
49%
-4.5pp
46%
BTTS Yes
54%
-7.9pp
54%
BTTS No
46%
+7.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME New England Revolution EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Nashville SC EU Bookmakers 38%
+46% / +46% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +27% / +27%
1.76/0.99 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.23/1.54
-27% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +11% / +51%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
336 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 296 · 74%
14.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.5
16.0 Crosses 16.5
1.0 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME New England Revolution
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Nashville SC
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
0.81 xG 1.35
55% Ball Possession 45%
11 Total Shots 16
5 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 6
456 Passes 340
84% Pass Accuracy 79%
18 Box Touches 21
23 Crosses 18
1 Yellow Cards 2
02.06.2024 Nashville SC Nashville SC 1-2 HT 0-1 New England Revolution New England Revolution ABD
15.10.2023 Nashville SC Nashville SC 3-2 HT 3-0 New England Revolution New England Revolution ABD
19.03.2023 New England Revolution New England Revolution 1-0 HT 0-0 Nashville SC Nashville SC ABD
05.08.2021 New England Revolution New England Revolution 0-0 HT 0-0 Nashville SC Nashville SC ABD
08.05.2021 Nashville SC Nashville SC 2-0 HT 1-0 New England Revolution New England Revolution ABD
24.10.2020 Nashville SC Nashville SC 1-1 HT 0-0 New England Revolution New England Revolution ABD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME New England Revolution
1-1
AWAY Nashville SC
0.89 xG 1.15
42% Ball Possession 58%
7 Total Shots 18
3 Shots on Target 6
0 Corners 15
319 Passes 432
84% Pass Accuracy 86%
13 Box Touches 23
8 Crosses 26
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH New England Revolution vs Nashville SC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

New England Revolution and Nashville SC couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 29% / 31% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (56%) came in.

On the day, New England Revolution had 42% of the ball to Nashville SC's 58%, shots finished 7-18, expected goals 0.89 to 1.15.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for New England Revolution and 1.17 for Nashville SC.

What was the final score of New England Revolution vs Nashville SC?

New England Revolution 1-1 Nashville SC in the Concacaf League Cup on 07/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for New England Revolution vs Nashville SC?

Before kick-off our model rated a New England Revolution win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split New England Revolution 39%, draw 29%, Nashville SC 31%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (New England Revolution), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (New England Revolution) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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