Deportivo Pereira 1-0 Boyaca Chico — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Colombia - Primera, 7 Aug 2024

📅07/08/2024 · 🕒04:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.86
Draw
30%
3.18
Away
25%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.51
Over 2.5
39%
2.43
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.19
No
54%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
8%
1/X
8%
X/1
14%
X/2
7%
X/X
14%
2/1
8%
2/2
10%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
50%
-5.5pp
30%
Draw
28%
+1.9pp
25%
Away Win
22%
+3.7pp
60%
Under 2.5
62%
-2.0pp
40%
Over 2.5
38%
+2.0pp
46%
BTTS Yes
42%
+4.0pp
54%
BTTS No
58%
-4.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Deportivo Pereira EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY Boyaca Chico EU Bookmakers 25%
-9% / -15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -5%
1.33/0.70 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.84/1.11
+5% / -21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -7% / -18%
59% Ball Possession 41%
16 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
362 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 221 · 71%
19.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 12.8
17.6 Crosses 15.3
2.4 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Deportivo Pereira
2W-2D-1L
AWAY Boyaca Chico
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.87 xG 0.72
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
283 Passes 273
75% Pass Accuracy 75%
10 Box Touches 17
16 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 3
06.02.2024 Boyaca Chico Boyaca Chico 1-2 HT 0-1 Deportivo Pereira Deportivo Pereira KOL
06.08.2023 Deportivo Pereira Deportivo Pereira 1-1 HT 0-0 Boyaca Chico Boyaca Chico KOL
12.02.2023 Boyaca Chico Boyaca Chico 3-1 HT 1-0 Deportivo Pereira Deportivo Pereira KOL
17.03.2021 Deportivo Pereira Deportivo Pereira 0-0 HT 0-0 Boyaca Chico Boyaca Chico KOL
22.02.2020 Boyaca Chico Boyaca Chico 0-1 HT 0-1 Deportivo Pereira Deportivo Pereira KOL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Deportivo Pereira
1-0
AWAY Boyaca Chico
1.15 xG 0.03
63% Ball Possession 37%
14 Total Shots 1
6 Shots on Target 0
1 Corners 0
314 Passes 147
82% Pass Accuracy 67%
20 Box Touches 2
19 Crosses 10
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Deportivo Pereira vs Boyaca Chico
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Deportivo Pereira edged past Boyaca Chico 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Deportivo Pereira as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (60%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Deportivo Pereira had 63% of the ball to Boyaca Chico's 37%, shots finished 14-1, expected goals 1.15 to 0.03.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Deportivo Pereira had the better of it with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Deportivo Pereira and 1.00 for Boyaca Chico.

What was the final score of Deportivo Pereira vs Boyaca Chico?

Deportivo Pereira 1-0 Boyaca Chico in the Colombia - Primera on 07/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Deportivo Pereira vs Boyaca Chico?

Before kick-off our model rated a Deportivo Pereira win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Deportivo Pereira 44%, draw 30%, Boyaca Chico 25%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Deportivo Pereira), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Deportivo Pereira) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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