Águila 2-3 Municipal Liberia — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Costa Rica - Cup, 7 Aug 2024

📅07/08/2024 · 🕒05:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
15%
12.23
Draw
24%
7.13
Away
61%
1.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
3.17
Over 2.5
52%
1.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.03
No
55%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
49%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
4%
1/X
3%
X/1
3%
X/2
13%
X/X
14%
2/1
3%
2/2
43%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
15%
Home Win
5%
+10.1pp
24%
Draw
10%
+13.4pp
61%
Away Win
84%
-23.6pp
48%
Under 2.5
28%
+20.3pp
52%
Over 2.5
72%
-20.3pp
45%
BTTS Yes
45%
-0.1pp
55%
BTTS No
55%
+0.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Águila EU Bookmakers 8%
Head to Head
AWAY Municipal Liberia EU Bookmakers 90%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
40% Ball Possession 60%
8 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 6
253 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 427 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Águila vs Municipal Liberia
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Municipal Liberia squeezed past Águila 3-2 away from home. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Municipal Liberia as the likeliest winner at 61%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of Águila vs Municipal Liberia?

Águila 2-3 Municipal Liberia in the Costa Rica - Cup on 07/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Águila vs Municipal Liberia?

Before kick-off our model rated an Municipal Liberia win the most likely single outcome at about 61%, with the full match-result split Águila 15%, draw 24%, Municipal Liberia 61%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Municipal Liberia), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Municipal Liberia) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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