Portimonense U23 1-0 Estrela U23 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - U23 National Championship, 7 Aug 2024

📅07/08/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.05
Draw
27%
3.35
Away
31%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
1.9
Over 2.5
54%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.7
No
49%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
15%
X/2
10%
X/X
15%
2/1
4%
2/2
17%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
45%
-2.6pp
27%
Draw
26%
+0.7pp
31%
Away Win
29%
+2.0pp
46%
Under 2.5
49%
-2.4pp
54%
Over 2.5
51%
+2.4pp
51%
BTTS Yes
55%
-3.7pp
49%
BTTS No
45%
+3.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Portimonense U23 EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Estrela U23 EU Bookmakers 32%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
313 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 316 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Portimonense U23
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Estrela U23
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
55% Ball Possession 45%
18 Total Shots 18
10 Shots on Target 10
7 Corners 5
26.09.2023 Estrela U23 Estrela U23 0-0 HT 0-0 Portimonense U23 Portimonense U23 UŞGB
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Portimonense U23
1-0
AWAY Estrela U23
46% Ball Possession 54%
4 Total Shots 11
2 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Portimonense U23 vs Estrela U23
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Portimonense U23 nicked a narrow win over Estrela U23 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Portimonense U23 as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Portimonense U23 had 46% of the ball to Estrela U23's 54%, shots finished 4-11.

What was the final score of Portimonense U23 vs Estrela U23?

Portimonense U23 1-0 Estrela U23 in the Portugal - U23 National Championship on 07/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Portimonense U23 vs Estrela U23?

Before kick-off our model rated a Portimonense U23 win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Portimonense U23 42%, draw 27%, Estrela U23 31%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Portimonense U23) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Portimonense U23) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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UŞGB More Portugal - U23 National Championship
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