Atlanta United 4-1 Atlas — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Concacaf League Cup, 7 Aug 2025

Atlanta United
4-1 HT 3-0
Atlas
📅07/08/2025 · 🕒02:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-1 ✗
Concacaf League Cup – 2025

Atlanta United vs Atlas Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.33
Draw
27%
3.54
Away
31%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
2.51
Over 2.5
43%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.41
No
52%
2.67
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
31%
5.26
2-3 Goals
39%
1.97
4-5 Goals
20%
2.53
6+ Goals
10%
5.86
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 5.26 — our 31% vs market 13.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
7%
1/X
9%
X/1
13%
X/2
11%
X/X
10%
2/1
8%
2/2
13%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
39%
+3.4pp
27%
Draw
25%
+1.8pp
31%
Away Win
36%
-5.2pp
57%
Under 2.5
36%
+20.5pp
43%
Over 2.5
64%
-20.5pp
48%
BTTS Yes
67%
-18.5pp
52%
BTTS No
33%
+18.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Atlanta United v Atlas — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Atlanta United EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Atlas EU Bookmakers 40%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
– / – Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) – / –
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
371 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 345 · 81%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –

Atlanta United 4-1 Atlas — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Atlanta United
4-1
AWAY Atlas
1.82 xG 0.90
46% Ball Possession 54%
9 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 10
1 Corners 4
341 Passes 396
86% Pass Accuracy 86%
20 Box Touches 20
10 Crosses 14
5 Yellow Cards 4
FAQ Atlanta United vs Atlas
Match summary & frequently asked questions

Atlanta United ran out comfortable winners over Atlas 4-1 in the Concacaf League Cup on 7 Aug 2025. Half-time: 3-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 43% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Atlanta United had 46% of the ball to Atlas's 54%, shots finished 9-16, expected goals 1.82 to 0.90.

What was the final score of Atlanta United vs Atlas?

Atlanta United 4-1 Atlas in the Concacaf League Cup on 07/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Atlanta United vs Atlas?

Before kick-off our model rated a Atlanta United win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Atlanta United 43%, draw 27%, Atlas 31%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Atlanta United) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Atlanta United) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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