Beijing Guoan 4-0 Shenzhen — Result, Statistics & Match Review — China Halk Cumhuriyeti - Super League, 7 Aug 2026

📅07/08/2026 · 🕒14:35 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
63%
1.49
Draw
17%
4.34
Away
20%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
2.96
Over 2.5
58%
1.36
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.49
No
44%
2.44
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
6.5
2-3 Goals
39%
2.12
4-5 Goals
24%
2.39
6+ Goals
14%
4.64
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
43%
1.8
1/2
4%
34.5
1/X
4%
14.9
X/1
12%
4.44
X/2
7%
12.35
X/X
10%
7.78
2/1 EV+ ✗
7%
17.8
2/2
9%
8.41
2/X
4%
16.5
Value flag · 2/1 at 17.8 — our 7% vs market 3.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
62%
Home Win
63%
-0.3pp
17%
Draw
20%
-2.5pp
20%
Away Win
18%
+2.7pp
42%
Under 2.5
30%
+11.9pp
58%
Over 2.5
70%
-11.9pp
56%
BTTS Yes
63%
-7.6pp
44%
BTTS No
37%
+7.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Beijing Guoan EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Shenzhen EU Bookmakers 21%
-11% / -16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+17% / -14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
57% Ball Possession 43%
17 Total Shots 11
7 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
429 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 305 · 79%
35.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
27.0 Crosses
1.3 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Beijing Guoan
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Shenzhen
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
14.10.2021 Beijing Guoan Beijing Guoan 1-1 HT 1-1 Shenzhen Shenzhen ÇİNK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Beijing Guoan
4-0
AWAY Shenzhen
2.95 xG 1.24
14 Total Shots 11
7 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
355 Passes 290
29 Box Touches 21
19 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Beijing Guoan vs Shenzhen
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Beijing Guoan swept aside Shenzhen 4-0. Half-time: 2-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Beijing Guoan as the likeliest winner at 62%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. On goals, over 2.5 goals (58%) landed while both teams to score (56%) missed.

On the day, shots finished 14-11, expected goals 2.95 to 1.24.

What was the final score of Beijing Guoan vs Shenzhen?

Beijing Guoan 4-0 Shenzhen in the China Halk Cumhuriyeti - Super League on 07/08/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Beijing Guoan vs Shenzhen?

Before kick-off our model rated a Beijing Guoan win the most likely single outcome at about 62%, with the full match-result split Beijing Guoan 62%, draw 17%, Shenzhen 20%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Beijing Guoan), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Beijing Guoan) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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