FC Liefering 2-3 Hertha Wels — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Austria - 1st Division, 7 Aug 2026

📅07/08/2026 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.92
Draw
20%
3.54
Away
28%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
37%
2.29
Over 2.5
63%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.5
No
42%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
4.5
2-3 Goals
37%
1.88
4-5 Goals
29%
2.72
6+ Goals
12%
7.35
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
2.62
1/2
5%
30.5
1/X
5%
12.4
X/1
16%
5.04
X/2
10%
7.78
X/X
9%
5.62
2/1 EV+ ✗
11%
21.35
2/2
13%
5.13
2/X
6%
13.1
Value flag · 2/1 at 21.35 — our 11% vs market 2.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
48%
+4.1pp
20%
Draw
25%
-4.7pp
28%
Away Win
27%
+0.6pp
37%
Under 2.5
40%
-3.1pp
63%
Over 2.5
60%
+3.1pp
58%
BTTS Yes
62%
-4.8pp
42%
BTTS No
38%
+4.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FC Liefering EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Hertha Wels EU Bookmakers 31%
-6% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+33% / -34% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
312 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 238 · 69%
26.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
24.7 Crosses
1.4 Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH FC Liefering vs Hertha Wels
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hertha Wels squeezed past FC Liefering 3-2 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was FC Liefering at 52%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (63%), both teams to score (58%), and both reads landed as well.

What was the final score of FC Liefering vs Hertha Wels?

FC Liefering 2-3 Hertha Wels in the Austria - 1st Division on 07/08/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FC Liefering vs Hertha Wels?

Before kick-off our model rated a FC Liefering win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split FC Liefering 52%, draw 20%, Hertha Wels 28%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (FC Liefering) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (FC Liefering) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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