Tvaaker 1-2 Rosengard — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - 1st Division, 7 Sep 2024

📅07/09/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.09
Draw
27%
3.35
Away
36%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
1.86
Over 2.5
54%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.75
No
46%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
32%
4-5 Goals
31%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
8%
1/X
9%
X/1
14%
X/2
14%
X/X
10%
2/1
7%
2/2
15%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
44%
-7.0pp
27%
Draw
26%
+0.2pp
36%
Away Win
30%
+6.8pp
46%
Under 2.5
50%
-3.9pp
54%
Over 2.5
50%
+3.9pp
54%
BTTS Yes
53%
+1.4pp
46%
BTTS No
47%
-1.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Tvaaker EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Rosengard EU Bookmakers 33%
-3% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -19% / -19%
1.14/0.74 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.48/2.00
-30% / +84% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +6% / -22%
52% Ball Possession 48%
10 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
335 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 291 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Tvaaker
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Rosengard
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
53% Ball Possession 47%
7 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 4
04.05.2024 Rosengard Rosengard 0-1 HT 0-1 Tvaaker Tvaaker İSÇ3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Tvaaker
1-2
AWAY Rosengard
52% Ball Possession 48%
15 Total Shots 15
6 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 6
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Tvaaker vs Rosengard
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Rosengard edged past Tvaaker 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match split (37% / 27% / 36%) promised a tight game; Rosengard found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Tvaaker had 52% of the ball to Rosengard's 48%, shots finished 15-15.

What was the final score of Tvaaker vs Rosengard?

Tvaaker 1-2 Rosengard in the Sweden - 1st Division on 07/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Tvaaker vs Rosengard?

Before kick-off our model rated a Tvaaker win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Tvaaker 37%, draw 27%, Rosengard 36%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Tvaaker) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Tvaaker) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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