Sevilla (K) 3-2 Real Sociedad (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — İspanya - Premier Lig Kadınlar, 7 Sep 2024

📅07/09/2024 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
3.32
Draw
33%
3.64
Away
33%
1.89
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.15
Over 2.5
50%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.6
No
50%
2.19
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
27%
+6.5pp
33%
Draw
24%
+9.1pp
33%
Away Win
49%
-15.7pp
50%
Under 2.5
43%
+7.2pp
50%
Over 2.5
57%
-7.2pp
50%
BTTS Yes
58%
-8.4pp
50%
BTTS No
42%
+8.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sevilla (K) EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Real Sociedad (K) EU Bookmakers 53%
-35% / -35% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / -10%
1.28/2.55 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.36/1.19
-31% / -52% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -47% / -16%
50% Ball Possession 50%
0 Total Shots 0
0 Shots on Target 0
0 Corners 0
0 · 0% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 0 · 0%
15.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.5
18.0 Crosses 14.8
3.0 Yellow Cards 1.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sevilla (K)
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Real Sociedad (K)
4.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.41 xG 1.91
38% Ball Possession 62%
15 Total Shots 25
5 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 5
226 Passes 440
70% Pass Accuracy 84%
22 Box Touches 35
15 Crosses 29
4 Yellow Cards 1
30.03.2024 Sevilla (K) Sevilla (K) 4-2 HT 3-1 Real Sociedad (K) Real Sociedad (K) İspanya - Premier Lig Kadınlar
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sevilla (K)
3-2
AWAY Real Sociedad (K)
0.75 xG 1.14
28% Ball Possession 72%
9 Total Shots 14
7 Shots on Target 4
0 Corners 4
173 Passes 607
66% Pass Accuracy 88%
8 Box Touches 23
9 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Sevilla (K) vs Real Sociedad (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sevilla (K) squeezed past Real Sociedad (K) 3-2. Half-time: 1-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 33% / 33% / 33% — and on the day Sevilla (K) made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Sevilla (K) had 28% of the ball to Real Sociedad (K)'s 72%, shots finished 9-14, expected goals 0.75 to 1.14.

What was the final score of Sevilla (K) vs Real Sociedad (K)?

Sevilla (K) 3-2 Real Sociedad (K) in the İspanya - Premier Lig Kadınlar on 07/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sevilla (K) vs Real Sociedad (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sevilla (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 33%, with the full match-result split Sevilla (K) 33%, draw 33%, Real Sociedad (K) 33%. The final score 3-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (33/33/33)
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