Valerenga (K) 3-1 Farul Constanta (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Champions League - Women's, 7 Sep 2024

📅07/09/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
56%
1.11
Draw
18%
7.78
Away
26%
10.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under
36%
4.0
Over Pick
64%
1.22
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
2.06
No
44%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1
18%
2-3
37%
4-5
29%
6+
16%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
32%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
17%
X/2
9%
X/X
9%
2/1
7%
2/2
12%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Over 2.5 — 64%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win Over 2.5 BTTS Yes — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
56%
Home Win
84%
-28.1pp
18%
Draw
9%
+8.7pp
25%
Away Win
6%
+19.5pp
36%
Under 2.5
22%
+14.4pp
64%
Over 2.5
78%
-14.4pp
56%
BTTS Yes
44%
+11.8pp
44%
BTTS No
56%
-11.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Valerenga (K) EU Bookmakers 90%
Head to Head
AWAY Farul Constanta (K) EU Bookmakers 9%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
60% Ball Possession 40%
19 Total Shots 10
8 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 3
457 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 269 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Valerenga (K) vs Farul Constanta (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Valerenga (K) saw off Farul Constanta (K) 3-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Valerenga (K) as the likeliest winner at 56%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (64%), both teams to score (56%) came in.

What was the final score of Valerenga (K) vs Farul Constanta (K)?

Valerenga (K) 3-1 Farul Constanta (K) in the Champions League - Women's on 07/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Valerenga (K) vs Farul Constanta (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a Valerenga (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Valerenga (K) 56%, draw 18%, Farul Constanta (K) 25%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Valerenga (K)), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Valerenga (K)) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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