ABD 1-2 Kanada — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 7 Sep 2024

ABD
1-2 HT 0-1
Kanada
📅07/09/2024 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Friendlies – 2024

ABD vs Kanada Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.96
Draw
27%
3.18
Away
24%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.71
Over 2.5
39%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
1.88
No
60%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
36%
2.81
2-3 Goals
40%
1.77
4-5 Goals
17%
4.15
6+ Goals
7%
20.0
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.81 — our 36% vs market 29.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
2.74
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
8%
13.55
X/1
14%
4.35
X/2
5%
7.5
X/X
14%
4.18
2/1
9%
27.5
2/2
11%
5.92
2/X
6%
14.15
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
47%
+2.4pp
27%
Draw
28%
-0.7pp
24%
Away Win
25%
-1.7pp
61%
Under 2.5
55%
+6.3pp
39%
Over 2.5
45%
-6.3pp
40%
BTTS Yes
49%
-8.7pp
60%
BTTS No
51%
+8.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

ABD v Kanada — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME ABD EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Kanada EU Bookmakers 29%
+7% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +7%
1.69/0.64 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.61/0.92
+5% / +89% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -49% / +74%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
378 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 370 · 81%
15.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
15.4 Crosses –
2.0 Yellow Cards –

ABD vs Kanada Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME ABD
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Kanada
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.46 xG 0.94
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
379 Passes 317
78% Pass Accuracy 76%
27 Box Touches 18
19 Crosses 14
1 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
10.07.2023 ABD ABD 2-2 HT 0-0 Kanada Kanada GK
19.06.2023 Kanada Kanada 0-2 HT 0-2 ABD ABD CON
30.01.2022 Kanada Kanada 2-0 HT 1-0 ABD ABD DKE
06.09.2021 ABD ABD 1-1 HT 0-0 Kanada Kanada DKE
19.07.2021 ABD ABD 1-0 HT 1-0 Kanada Kanada GK
16.11.2019 ABD ABD 4-1 HT 3-0 Kanada Kanada CON

ABD 1-2 Kanada — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME ABD
1-2
AWAY Kanada
1.80 xG 2.12
58% Ball Possession 42%
8 Total Shots 17
5 Shots on Target 7
2 Corners 7
446 Passes 295
88% Pass Accuracy 82%
15 Box Touches 36
8 Crosses 17
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH ABD vs Kanada
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kanada nicked a narrow win over ABD 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was ABD at 49%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (60%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, ABD had 58% of the ball to Kanada's 42%, shots finished 8-17, expected goals 1.80 to 2.12.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, ABD had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for ABD and 1.00 for Kanada.

What was the final score of ABD vs Kanada?

ABD 1-2 Kanada in the Friendlies on 07/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for ABD vs Kanada?

Before kick-off our model rated a ABD win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split ABD 49%, draw 27%, Kanada 24%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (ABD) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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