07/09/2024
·
15:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
3-1
2nd Score
2-2
Madla vs Vigor Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
29%
Over 2.5
71%
Both Teams to Score
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
15%
2-3 Goals
31%
4-5 Goals
30%
6+ Goals
24%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
35%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
21%
X/2
6%
X/X
4%
2/1
8%
2/2
11%
2/X
5%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
64%
Home Win
80%
15%
Draw
10%
21%
Away Win
10%
52%
BTTS Yes
64%
48%
BTTS No
36%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Madla v Vigor — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Madla
EU Bookmakers 85%
Head to Head
AWAY
Vigor
EU Bookmakers 12%
+0% /
+0%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
-11% /
-11%
–/–
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
–/–
–
/
–
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
-54%
/
-40%
58%
Ball Possession
42%
20
Total Shots
7
9
Shots on Target
3
9
Corners
4
422 · 86%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
234 · 75%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
0.0
Madla vs Vigor Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings
H2H
Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME
Madla
1W-0D-0L
AWAY
Vigor
6.00
Avg Goals (FT)
1.00
The Meetings
POST-MATCH
Madla vs Vigor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Madla squeezed past Vigor 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Madla as the likeliest winner at 64%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (71%) — went the other way, though.
What was the final score of Madla vs Vigor?
Madla 1-0 Vigor in the Norway - 3rd Division on 07/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Madla vs Vigor?
Before kick-off our model rated a Madla win the most likely single outcome at about 64%, with the full match-result split Madla 64%, draw 15%, Vigor 21%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Madla) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.
✓ Match Result (Madla)
✗ Over 2.5
✗ BTTS Yes
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NOR4
More Norway - 3rd Division
7 Sep 2024