Olimpia Elblag 4-1 Zaglebie Sosnowiec — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - 2nd Division, 7 Sep 2024

Olimpia Elblag
4-1 HT 2-1
Zaglebie Sosnowiec
📅07/09/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Poland - 2nd Division – 2024/2025

Olimpia Elblag vs Zaglebie Sosnowiec Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
3.5
Draw
22%
3.45
Away
50%
1.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.8
Over 2.5
48%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.85
No
52%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
33%
3.04
2-3 Goals
41%
1.78
4-5 Goals
17%
3.84
6+ Goals
9%
16.85
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.04 — our 33% vs market 27.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
13%
X/2
23%
X/X
6%
2/1
4%
2/2
19%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
25%
+3.0pp
22%
Draw
26%
-3.7pp
50%
Away Win
49%
+0.7pp
52%
Under 2.5
52%
+0.6pp
48%
Over 2.5
48%
-0.6pp
48%
BTTS Yes
50%
-2.4pp
52%
BTTS No
50%
+2.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Olimpia Elblag v Zaglebie Sosnowiec — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Olimpia Elblag EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Zaglebie Sosnowiec EU Bookmakers 54%
+1% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +21% / +21%
0.86/1.17 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.01/0.48
-34% / +29% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -32% / +150%
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
268 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 499 · 85%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.1 Yellow Cards 5.0
POST-MATCH Olimpia Elblag vs Zaglebie Sosnowiec
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Olimpia Elblag swept aside Zaglebie Sosnowiec 4-1. Half-time: 2-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Zaglebie Sosnowiec at 50%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

What was the final score of Olimpia Elblag vs Zaglebie Sosnowiec?

Olimpia Elblag 4-1 Zaglebie Sosnowiec in the Poland - 2nd Division on 07/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Olimpia Elblag vs Zaglebie Sosnowiec?

Before kick-off our model rated an Zaglebie Sosnowiec win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Olimpia Elblag 28%, draw 22%, Zaglebie Sosnowiec 50%. The final score 4-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Zaglebie Sosnowiec) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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