Dravinja 4-1 Tolmin — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Slovenia - 2.SNL, 7 Sep 2024

📅07/09/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.05
Draw
31%
3.28
Away
30%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
65%
1.6
Over 2.5
35%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
1.96
No
58%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
8%
1/X
8%
X/1
7%
X/2
12%
X/X
15%
2/1
4%
2/2
10%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
45%
-6.0pp
31%
Draw
27%
+4.4pp
30%
Away Win
28%
+1.6pp
65%
Under 2.5
59%
+6.7pp
35%
Over 2.5
41%
-6.7pp
42%
BTTS Yes
47%
-4.8pp
58%
BTTS No
53%
+4.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dravinja EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Tolmin EU Bookmakers 32%
-9% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -6%
1.49/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.08/1.38
-7% / +26% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -19% / +13%
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
299 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 316 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Dravinja
0W-2D-0L
AWAY Tolmin
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
19.04.2024 Tolmin Tolmin 1-1 HT 1-0 Dravinja Dravinja SLVN2
01.10.2023 Dravinja Dravinja 1-1 HT 0-1 Tolmin Tolmin SLVN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Dravinja
4-1
AWAY Tolmin
46% Ball Possession 54%
16 Total Shots 11
9 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Dravinja vs Tolmin
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dravinja swept aside Tolmin 4-1. Half-time: 3-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (39% / 31% / 30%) promised a tight game; Dravinja found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (65%), no to both teams scoring (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Dravinja had 46% of the ball to Tolmin's 54%, shots finished 16-11.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 0 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Dravinja and 1.00 for Tolmin.

What was the final score of Dravinja vs Tolmin?

Dravinja 4-1 Tolmin in the Slovenia - 2.SNL on 07/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dravinja vs Tolmin?

Before kick-off our model rated a Dravinja win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Dravinja 39%, draw 31%, Tolmin 30%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Dravinja) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Dravinja) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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