İsrail U21 1-0 Estonya U21 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — European U21, 7 Sep 2024

İsrail U21
1-0 HT 0-0
Estonya U21
📅07/09/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 ✗ 2nd Score 3-0 ✗
European U21 – 2024

İsrail U21 vs Estonya U21 Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home Pick
69%
1.16
Draw
17%
7.13
Away
14%
12.05
Under/Over 2.5
Under
44%
2.38
Over
56%
1.52
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
3.06
No
61%
1.32
Total Goals
0-1
26%
4.52
2-3
37%
1.85
4-5
22%
2.75
6+
15%
7.72
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
42%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
21%
X/2
4%
X/X
7%
2/1
6%
2/2
6%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our Pick
İsrail U21 win — 69% ✓
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
69%
Home Win
82%
-13.7pp
18%
Draw
12%
+5.9pp
14%
Away Win
6%
+7.8pp
44%
Under 2.5
38%
+5.8pp
56%
Over 2.5
62%
-5.8pp
39%
BTTS Yes
28%
+10.2pp
61%
BTTS No
72%
-10.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

İsrail U21 v Estonya U21 — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME İsrail U21 EU Bookmakers 87%
Head to Head
AWAY Estonya U21 EU Bookmakers 8%
+8% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -4%
2.42/0.59 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.24/3.50
-17% / -23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -51% / -19%
63% Ball Possession 37%
18 Total Shots 6
8 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
552 · 89% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 270 · 79%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 8.0
– Crosses 7.0
1.0 Yellow Cards 1.4

İsrail U21 1-0 Estonya U21 — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME İsrail U21
1-0
AWAY Estonya U21
57% Ball Possession 43%
12 Total Shots 6
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 5
4 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH İsrail U21 vs Estonya U21
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

İsrail U21 nicked a narrow win over Estonya U21 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had İsrail U21 as the likeliest winner at 69%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. On goals, no to both teams scoring (61%) landed while over 2.5 goals (56%) missed.

On the day, İsrail U21 had 57% of the ball to Estonya U21's 43%, shots finished 12-6.

What was the final score of İsrail U21 vs Estonya U21?

İsrail U21 1-0 Estonya U21 in the European U21 on 07/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for İsrail U21 vs Estonya U21?

Before kick-off our model rated a İsrail U21 win the most likely single outcome at about 69%, with the full match-result split İsrail U21 69%, draw 18%, Estonya U21 14%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (İsrail U21), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (İsrail U21) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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